Could be a crazy trade deadline today, and all without a single big name going anywhere
is there anyone who can explain to me why a team that is currently in 5th place has a 33% chance of making the finals and a 16% chance of winning them, whereas the 2nd place team that has six more wins only has a 9% and 2% probability?
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-nba-predictions/
i'm serious, this isn't just a "raptors are disrespected" post. nobody i've asked this too has been able to explain it.
is there anyone who can explain to me why a team that is currently in 5th place has a 33% chance of making the finals and a 16% chance of winning them, whereas the 2nd place team that has six more wins only has a 9% and 2% probability?
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-nba-predictions/
i'm serious, this isn't just a "raptors are disrespected" post. nobody i've asked this too has been able to explain it.
The Sixers get a ridiculous amount of unearned respect from many so called "experts".
I see them as a very flawed team, and their 2 best players have glaring weaknesses (Embiid can't stay on the court consistently, always either sick or some small injury and Simmons can't/won't shoot from beyond 12 feet).
They don't shoot well enough from outside as a team (the trade they just made helps a bit, but those 2 guys are still only bit players) and they space terribly. I think they are starting to regret giving an aging Average al Horford 4 years and over 100 Mil. Its absurd the amount of folks who still think they are the class of the east.
As Bill Parcells once said, you are who your record says you are, and frankly they are to me about the 5th best team in the east.
Bucks are the top of the class, and your Raptors (who are surprising me quite a bit with how well they are playing, thought they'd be a low playoff seed) and my Celtics are the 2 teams I think could knock the Bucks out.
yeah i agree with all of what you're saying, but this probability model is based entirely on publicly available data, and the opinions of anyone don't count at all for it. i'm baffled as to how it could possibly rate the sixers so much higher than both the celtics and raptors if that's the case.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/introducing-raptor-our-new-metric-for-the-modern-nba/
I would fear a healthy Clippers team just a tad.I think the Raptors are the team with the best chance to knock the Bucks out. This year, the recipe to beat Milwaukee is to shoot the 3 ball in record numbers, and Toronto can get hot. I actually fear Toronto more than any team in the West.
yeah i agree with all of what you're saying, but this probability model is based entirely on publicly available data, and the opinions of anyone don't count at all for it. i'm baffled as to how it could possibly rate the sixers so much higher than both the celtics and raptors if that's the case.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/introducing-raptor-our-new-metric-for-the-modern-nba/
Remaining Schedule Difficulty
11. Raptors
12. Celtics
29. 76ers
lol this stupid model now has the 5th place 76ers as the favourite to win the east over the bucks, and the sixers are apparently stronger than the lakers now too. not sure how that could possibly have changed in the last two days with zero games being played but okay.
RAPTOR is inherently flawed as it has no way of taking team chemistry and roster fit into account - so an underperforming talent filled roster with an easy remaining schedule will always over-perform in their rankings. The Celtics were always high there last year as well.lol this stupid model now has the 5th place 76ers as the favourite to win the east over the bucks, and the sixers are apparently stronger than the lakers now too. not sure how that could possibly have changed in the last two days with zero games being played but okay.
I just hope Yanni stays in Milwaukee. Or we at least get one championship from him.I feel like this Yanni character is going to be a decent player