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Old 10-18-2012, 06:59 PM   #501
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On the Real Clear Politics site

one candidate is 5 electoral votes ahead >>>>>>>>>>> Romney


RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map
And 538 has Obama up by 36 electoral votes.

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
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Old 10-18-2012, 07:01 PM   #502
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And 538 has Obama up by 36 electoral votes.

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
and if you look at your site's state by state map you will see they have Colo at 50.8 % chances for Obama ( 9 votes) lose that small margin then it is only Ohio as I have been saying for some time now.
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Old 10-18-2012, 07:09 PM   #503
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Jon Stewart will put Romney in the Whitehouse

Barack Obama on Benghazi: 'If four Americans get killed, it's not OPTIMAL': Obama's extraordinary response to security fiasco after Benghazi massacre | Mail Online
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Old 10-18-2012, 07:14 PM   #504
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Not sure what you mean by that
It was a smart ass comment. I mean - when push comes to shove - the same number of people that were watching Bill Clinton's incredibly important speech at the DNC - were watching Honey Boo Boo that night.

So we can pretend that X% of those women surveyed (and if it were men, I'd have said sports or something) actually care about those things - primarily - or we can just admit that there are a significant number of men and women in this country that care a lot more about superficial pop culture entertainment BS than about the real issues facing this country, regardless of what that survey tells us that 'swing state women' care about.

And these people are choosing the next President. Not you or I. These are the people that somehow remain undecided. So whether they are labeled swing state women or red state men, there is a percentage of ALL of these groups that are just plain uninformed. Whether they are registered to vote or not.

And also, I am of the opinion that the debates are highly rated - only because these vapid drones are on Twitter - and it was trending everywhere.

And this has always been true but social media has made it worse.
Maybe that is a thread unto itself. The dumbing down of America.
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Old 10-18-2012, 07:18 PM   #505
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I'm at the point where I believe this election is Romney's to lose now... which is crazy considering a month ago I didn't think he had a snowballs chance in hell.
I would not go quite that far, I keep sliding around, putting his odds between 46 % and 51.3 %


these 67 - 70+ % for Obama are way too high
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Old 10-18-2012, 08:11 PM   #506
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Men watch Honey Boo Boo and women watch sports. I just finished watching the ALCS. I watch sports and reality shows and still have the brains to make an informed voting decision . Many people do the same thing.

I think things are so bad for some people that they want an escape. Doesn't automatically mean they're dumb - or dumbed down.

I've never watched Honey Boo Boo-not my thing and I feel sorry for the kid. I've seen clips on The Soup.
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Old 10-19-2012, 03:06 PM   #507
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Biden will laugh at anything
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Old 10-19-2012, 04:02 PM   #508
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Once again, an indicator that this election is truly a referendum on the intelligence of the electorate.

The Republicans making hay out of this comment is deplorable. The president was asked if the question asked if his response was optimal. He replied that it's never "optimal" when Americans are killed. All he was doing was using the phrasing that Stewart used. To suggest that this phrases indicates a flippant or careless attitude towards those who lost their lives indicates an utter disregard for context and tone and is frankly disgusting.
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Old 10-19-2012, 04:15 PM   #509
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Once again, an indicator that this election is truly a referendum on the intelligence of the electorate.
It just can't be repeated enough.
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Old 10-19-2012, 04:20 PM   #510
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Like I said in the thread about Benghazi - what about GWB's reaction to the Iraqi War fiasco? At least Obama is taking responsibility (I know, Hilary is taking it the most, but Obama is too). I think he could've done it sooner, but its better than never!
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Old 10-19-2012, 04:48 PM   #511
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According to this article, things are looking brighter for Obama.

Latest Presidential Polls: Obama Winning in Key Swing States as Romney Steps Up Spending
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Old 10-19-2012, 04:51 PM   #512
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At least Obama is taking responsibility (I know, Hilary is taking it the most, but Obama is too). I think he could've done it sooner, but its better than never!
And therein lies the difference between this adminstration and the last one. They actually own up to their mistakes.

Agreed with Sean's post as well. Gotta love that insane media spin.
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Old 10-19-2012, 05:13 PM   #513
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Once again, an indicator that this election is truly a referendum on the intelligence of the electorate.

The Republicans making hay out of this comment is deplorable. The president was asked if the question asked if his response was optimal. He replied that it's never "optimal" when Americans are killed. All he was doing was using the phrasing that Stewart used. To suggest that this phrases indicates a flippant or careless attitude towards those who lost their lives indicates an utter disregard for context and tone and is frankly disgusting.

If you don't want to blame Obama, then blame Stewart.

You can not blame the dead people or their families




Quote:
Criticism: Pat Smith, left, whose diplomat son Sean, right, died in the raid, slammed the President's remarks
Speaking from her home in San Diego, Mrs Smith, 72, continued: 'It's insensitive to say my son is not very optimal - he is also very dead. I've not been "optimal" since he died and the past few weeks have been pure hell.
'I am still waiting for the truth to come out and I still want to know the truth. I'm finally starting to get some answers but I won't give up.
'There's a lot of stupid things that have been said about my son and what happened and this is another one of them.'


Read more: Barack Obama on Benghazi attack: Mother of diplomat criticises President's 'optimal' comment | Mail Online
Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook
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Old 10-19-2012, 05:28 PM   #514
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According to this article, things are looking brighter for Obama.

Latest Presidential Polls: Obama Winning in Key Swing States as Romney Steps Up Spending

that looks like a loser for Obama



those numbers are not results, but how people say they will vote.

I know for a fact, the likelihood of a GOP voter taking the time to vote is much stronger than that of a democratic voter. The .08 margins in Vir and NH means they will end up going for Romney and Ohio is right on the edge.

the results in 2010 went much more GOP than what the polls said, why? because one side is more likely to take the time to vote. We see that in here, people say they are for Obama or the dems, but also say they don't bother to vote. How often have you ever heard a GOP supporter say that??
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Old 10-19-2012, 07:03 PM   #515
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Originally Posted by deep

that looks like a loser for Obama

those numbers are not results, but how people say they will vote.

I know for a fact, the likelihood of a GOP voter taking the time to vote is much stronger than that of a democratic voter. The .08 margins in Vir and NH means they will end up going for Romney and Ohio is right on the edge.

the results in 2010 went much more GOP than what the polls said, why? because one side is more likely to take the time to vote. We see that in here, people say they are for Obama or the dems, but also say they don't bother to vote. How often have you ever heard a GOP supporter say that??
That's quite an assumption. To debunk that theory, I read an article that Obama's ground force in the battleground states doubles Romney's ground force. You also haven't taken early voting into account either which heavily favors Obama.
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Old 10-20-2012, 01:02 AM   #516
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yes there are a lot of assumptions

this no toss up map from Real Clear Politics, has Romney one state away from winning

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map No Toss Ups
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Old 10-20-2012, 06:11 PM   #517
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2010 was the result of anti-incumbent sentiment and when the polls were taken they were (always are) based on what the poll takers - guess - will be (was going to be) the breakdown. And they base those breakdowns on previous elections. It's hard to guess precisely what the anti-incumbent movement will be in a midterm election. 2008 saw a high turnout for the Dems because of anti-incumbent sentiment and pro-Obama sentiment. Otherwise if those sympathetic to Dems were less likely to turnout they wouldn't have won big in both 2008 or 2006, much less come as close as they did to capturing the WH in 2004. That's not what it's about - it's about motivation.

And you can't chalk up motivation based on Democrat/Republican - you base it on how bad they want to fire the current guy.

People will vote if they believe their vote still matters, whatever side they are voting for.
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Old 10-20-2012, 08:52 PM   #518
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Sorry if this was posted already. Latest cover story from Rolling Stone is a great article by Matt Taibbi every American should read. Scary!

Greed and Debt: The True Story of Mitt Romney and Bain Capital | Politics News | Rolling Stone

Yes you should read it, but since it's pretty long but here is the synopsis:


"By making debt the centerpiece of his campaign, Romney was making a calculated bluff of historic dimensions – placing a massive all-in bet on the rank incompetence of the American press corps. The result has been a brilliant comedy: A man makes a $250 million fortune loading up companies with debt and then extracting million-dollar fees from those same companies, in exchange for the generous service of telling them who needs to be fired in order to finance the debt payments he saddled them with in the first place. That same man then runs for president riding an image of children roasting on flames of debt, choosing as his running mate perhaps the only politician in America more pompous and self-righteous on the subject of the evils of borrowed money than the candidate himself. If Romney pulls off this whopper, you'll have to tip your hat to him: No one in history has ever successfully run for president riding this big of a lie. It's almost enough to make you think he really is qualified for the White House."
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Old 10-20-2012, 09:29 PM   #519
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Yea I'm really gonna take Rolling Stone as a very impartial, non biased organization.

That's like taking a piece on Obama by Fox News and saying every american should view it so that they know exactly who the president reeeeally is.
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Old 10-20-2012, 10:18 PM   #520
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Yea I'm really gonna take Rolling Stone as a very impartial, non biased organization.

That's like taking a piece on Obama by Fox News and saying every american should view it so that they know exactly who the president reeeeally is.
Taking the source of the article out of the equation though, it's hard to disagree with the content.
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