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Old 01-26-2011, 07:25 PM   #61
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I realize many are thinking the momentum is leaning towards The King's Stammer, because of the most Academy Nominations. Prior to that, all the momentum was leaning for TSN, it has won most all of the other award competitions. I do think TSN will win SAG ensemble (Best picture) award on Sunday. If TKS wins, that may change my thinking.


Also, with this weighted voting, that could really skew the vote.
Are the 6000 (approx) voters required to vote for all 10 nominees? Ranking them 1 to 10? worst to best?

I can come up with scenarios that give True Grit a real shot to win.
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Old 01-26-2011, 08:00 PM   #62
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Balloting and Nominations | Rules for the 83rd Academy Awards | Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences

ok, looks like the weighted vote is only to get the nominees from all that are eligible.

the winner, is simply the one with the most votes,
members vote for one film, out of the 10 nominees.


This weighted vote thing is floating around the web, don't believe everything you read, just what I tell you.
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Old 01-26-2011, 08:06 PM   #63
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I thought this was the first year that they WOULD be ranking 1-10.

Hmm. We need to see an official ballot from this year.
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Old 01-26-2011, 08:18 PM   #64
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1. go to the official website and read what it says

or

2. don't believe everything you have read on blogs and other hearsay, (just what I tell you)
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Old 01-26-2011, 08:34 PM   #65
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I respect anyone who enjoyed The King's Speech and that vein of filmmaking, that's cool. It's not my tastes. HOWEVER, when you call it the "fundamental" and "sound" way to make a film, as if that should be the standard to which the objective quality of cinematic storytelling should be based, then I don't know what to say to that... at least phrase it politely. Yes, this encounter has happened more than once in the past week.

Am I looking to pick fights? No, but goddamn it, that movie to me is easily the least interesting and compelling film in the BP block and it's the fucking frontrunner? Really? Who the fuck feels passionate about that movie to the point where they're ready to declare it the most accomplished movie of an entire year? It could've been made 50-60 years ago and would've been just as creatively stagnant and cut-and-dry then. Come on, now.

every year I get in an office pool (with about 40 others), we have about 20 of the categories on our office pool ballot.

I typically get 17-18 correct and win the pool about 1/2 the time.
Best Picture counts no more than editing or any other category.

I thought TSN was a lock. But, after reading your post I am thinking TKS may edge it out. I can see where the old fart contingent plus anti-Hitler group could easily be 30-35 per cent of the 5700 voters.
TSN will be drawing from the same younger pool as Black Swan fans and even 127 Hours fans. Will Inception fans peel off votes from TSN, too?

You could be right about TKS being the Front-runner. It is not my best pic at all.
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Old 01-26-2011, 08:43 PM   #66
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It is not my best pic at all.
I had absolutely no idea. This is the first I'm reading about this.
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Old 01-26-2011, 09:08 PM   #67
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I've linked you to my updates.
(the first month is complimentary)
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Old 01-26-2011, 10:24 PM   #68
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Old 01-27-2011, 03:55 AM   #69
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Colin Firth and King's Speech will win for Best Actor and Picture. I'd be very surprised to see any other challenger take home those two.

Nothing screams "fit for the academy's vote" more than that movie. You can see it a mile off.
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Old 01-27-2011, 12:00 PM   #70
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Mr. D'Arcy's a lock for Best Actor.
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Old 01-30-2011, 06:38 AM   #71
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So Tom Hooper won Best Feature Film Director at the Directors Guild Award. And apparently the winner of DGA hasn't won Best Director at Oscars on only six occasions.

Obviously, critic love doesn't translate into guild love for TSN so far.
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Old 01-30-2011, 08:41 AM   #72
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Well, its going to happen for the 7th time this year, Hopper's nom is the pity nom because the film was one of the serious BP contenders. The film succeeds because of the writing and acting, and that cast is always excellent.
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Old 01-30-2011, 01:59 PM   #73
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This is bullshit.
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Old 01-30-2011, 02:57 PM   #74
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Words can not describe how pissed I am right now.

But there are def similarities between Fincher and Scorsese and so this cold shoulder by a bunch of hacks like the DGA shouldn't really surprise me. They fucked Marty so many times before The Departed.
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Old 01-30-2011, 03:34 PM   #75
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lol, let's get emotional over film awards.
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