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Old 07-20-2010, 02:05 PM   #106
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well, shucks. who knew?

Quote:
Dems take generic ballot lead
By: Andy Barr
July 20, 2010 07:44 AM EDT

Democrats this week have jumped into a 6-percentage-point generic-ballot edge for November’s election, according to a new Gallup poll.

Forty-nine percent of the 1,535 adults surveyed nationwide said they would prefer to vote for a Democrat to represent their congressional district. Forty-three percent are more likely to vote for a Republican.

Just more than a month ago, Republicans held a 6-point edge on Democrats in the poll.

Though the two parties have gone back in forth in Gallup’s generic ballot since the spring, Republicans have held a lead for most of the last three months.

The 6-point edge Democrats currently enjoy is the largest they have seen in months.

Democrats have yet to catch Republicans among independent voters, however, but are closing the gap.

Republicans hold a 4 percentage point edge among independents in this week's poll, 43-39 percent. Just a week before, Republicans led by 14 percentage points. In mid-June, Republicans led 52 percent to 31 percent among independents.

In her analysis, Gallup’s Lydia Saad speculated that the generic ballot bump for Democrats this past week could be due to the passage of financial reform.

“The financial reform bill is the second-biggest piece of legislation to get through Congress this year, after healthcare reform, and it enjoyed majority support,” Saad wrote. “According to a USA Today/Gallup poll in June, 55% of Americans were in favor of legislation expanding government regulation of financial institutions — including 72% of Democrats and 56% of independents. Only Republicans were generally opposed.”

Dems take generic ballot lead - POLITICO.com Print View


i wonder if passing substantive reform on both the wildly unpopular health care private insurance industry as well as regulating the people on Wall Street who essentially destroyed the world economy might actually be getting through to the American voters? perhaps people are starting to realize that this is exactly what they elected the Democrats to do, that Obama has been shockingly effective at actually fulfilling his campaign promises?

i know, i know ... you're thinking, "well, sure, Americans say they like roads and schools and fire departments and hospitals, but deep down, all they really want is a tax cut so they can buy more shit at Target so vote Republican yay," but maybe not?
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Old 07-20-2010, 02:50 PM   #107
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I think they may screw the pooch, here is CA with Prop 19.
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Old 07-20-2010, 03:34 PM   #108
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well, shucks. who knew?

maybe not?
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo..._vote-901.html
*yawn*

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Old 07-20-2010, 04:38 PM   #109
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yeah, that's a couple days old, sweet pea.

go back to sleep, daddy. will join you soon.
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Old 07-20-2010, 04:44 PM   #110
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I suppose being mean about the unemployment may have taken a few points

but, in a couple of weeks it will be forgotten, and it has been funded through Dec.
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Old 07-20-2010, 09:01 PM   #111
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I suppose being mean about the unemployment may have taken a few points

but, in a couple of weeks it will be forgotten, and it has been funded through Dec.
Yes, unemployment benefits are now funded through Obama's Summer & Autumn of Recovery.

Jeez.
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Old 07-20-2010, 09:20 PM   #112
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Yes, unemployment benefits are now funded through Obama's Summer & Autumn of Recovery.

Jeez.


what's funding the Bush tax cuts?
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Old 07-20-2010, 09:26 PM   #113
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what's funding the Bush tax cuts?
Tea bags?
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Old 07-21-2010, 06:10 PM   #114
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yes, I know it is a long time until 2012
and a lot can happen

but right now, I say the likely contest will be: Obama vs Romney

and it will be a competitive contest.

Quote:
Thursday, July 15, 2010
Pretty Bad 2012 numbers for Obama

With his approval numbers hitting new lows it's no surprise that Barack Obama's numbers in our monthly look ahead to the 2012 Presidential race are their worst ever this month. He trails Mitt Romney 46-43, Mike Huckabee 47-45, Newt Gingrich 46-45, and is even tied with Sarah Palin at 46. The only person tested he leads is Jan Brewer, who doesn't have particularly high name recognition on the national level at this point.

It's not that any of the Republican candidates are particularly well liked. Only Huckabee has positive favorability numbers at 37/28. Romney's at 32/33, Gingrich at 32/42, Palin at 37/52, and Brewer at 17/20. But with a majority of Americans now disapproving of Obama it's no surprise that a large chunk of them would replace him as President if they had that choice today.

There are two things driving these strong poll numbers for the Republican candidates. The first is a lead with independents in every match up. Romney leads 48-35 with them, Gingrich is up 50-39, Huckabee has a 46-40 advantage, Palin's up 47-42, and even Brewer has a 38-37 edge.

The other thing causing the Republicans to do so well is that their party is unified around them to an equal or even greater extent than Democrats are around Obama. Huckabee's getting 85% of the Republican vote to Obama's 82% of the Democrats, Romney's at 82% in his party to Obama's 80%, Gingrich and Obama are each getting 83% of their party vote, and Palin and Obama are each getting 81% of theirs.

Obviously 2012 is a long ways off and the immediate relevance of these numbers is limited. It's possible we'll look back on polls like this 28 months from now after Obama's been reelected and laugh. But it's also possible that we'll look back on the summer of 2010 after he's been defeated and see it as the time when his prospects for reelection really took a turn for the worse. For now there's really no way to tell.
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Old 07-21-2010, 08:47 PM   #115
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yes, I know it is a long time until 2012
and a lot can happen

but right now, I say the likely contest will be: Obama vs Romney

and it will be a competitive contest.
Well anything can happen but I think this is a very likely scenario.

And as much as the angry tea partiers look to be a threat, I think many will just stay home if it's Romney.
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Old 07-22-2010, 08:57 AM   #116
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what happens when Romney beats up on Queen Sarah? will he be mean to poor little Trigg just to win the nomination? and how will the Momma Grizzlies react when poor Sarah comes under mean, mean attack for not knowing anything and unable to formulate a coherent talking point without a sympathetic Fox News host walking her through her answer with their preceding question?
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Old 07-22-2010, 08:12 PM   #117
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he will offer a job in the cabinet, that seems to be the pattern

perhaps, Health Czar.
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Old 07-23-2010, 10:13 AM   #118
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So now he's going to vacation next month on the Florida Gulf coast, don't know if that's in addition to MV or instead of MV. Now it just looks like he's doing that in response to criticism

Oh, it's just for a weekend-Aug 14th, then 2 weeks in MV
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Old 07-24-2010, 04:24 PM   #119
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Things aren't looking good for "Steve" or his sycophants.
The trend continues:

RealClearPolitics - Election Other - President Obama Job Approval


Sorry Boo-boo:

RealClearPolitics - Election Other - Generic Congressional Vote

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Old 07-24-2010, 05:06 PM   #120
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McChrystal to retire with 4 stars - Navy News, news from Iraq - Navy Times

A nice touch by the administration and the Army.
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