My predictions on the war with Iraq. - U2 Feedback

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Old 01-25-2003, 02:47 PM   #1
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Normal My predictions on the war with Iraq.

Within the next 4 weeks, President Bush will appear on television on a suprise primetime news conference and announce that US/UK bombers are minutes away from destroying several targets.

He will then show the world satellite images of these targets to prove of their existence. The next morning, we'll see satellite images of their non-existence.

Saddams's reaction will determine the playout of the rest of the war. If he is determined to retaliate and rally his troops to attack our current positions, then hopefully we'll have the right people in place to depose of Saddam from within (I think they've been working on this for some time). We will support that cause with firepower and troops if need be, but will not go head to head with regular army against regular army.

Thoughts?

Mark
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Old 01-25-2003, 02:49 PM   #2
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War is a foregone conclusion. I think Bush has been merely window dressing that there is any alternative to this war. He's been planning it even before 9/11, IMO.

It's all a study in media manipulation.

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Old 01-25-2003, 03:29 PM   #3
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Quote:
Originally posted by melon
War is a foregone conclusion. I think Bush has been merely window dressing that there is any alternative to this war. He's been planning it even before 9/11, IMO.

It's all a study in media manipulation.

Melon
About the smartest thing I've heard said about the whole thing actually.

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Old 01-25-2003, 05:12 PM   #4
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How the war develops will depend on how much of the Iraqi military decides to fight. There could be very intense fighting if the Republican guard divisions fight to the death once they are engaged, just like they did during the ground war of the first Gulf War. The Iraqi regular army, unlike the Republican Guard, probably will not fight.

But its really difficult to say. I'd say the whole thing will last anywhere from 1 week to 3 weeks at the most. The exact length and details will really be dependent on how much of the entire Iraqi military resist the operation.

From what I have read there will be a very short Air Campaign or in fact no air campaign prior to ground units rushing into Iraq. A simultanous air and ground attack designed to bring any fighting to an end as soon as possible. The whole thing lasting not more than 3 weeks. Of course this is very speculative.

But there still is a small chance that war can be avoided. Saddam may decide to leave the country. HIGHLY Unlikely, but not impossible. Saddam may decide to comply with the resolutions, again highly unlikely.

Although military action becomes likely after February 15 when all US forces will be in place, Bush may not necessarily go in late February or early March. Believe it or not, the US military is ready to conduct military operations in the middle of summer, in the middle east heat, if there is a delay.
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Old 01-25-2003, 05:19 PM   #5
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i agree with melon and sting2 on this.
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Old 01-25-2003, 05:21 PM   #6
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Melon,

Sorry, I'm not predicting that there will be a war with Iraq... just predicting how it will begin.



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Old 01-25-2003, 05:25 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally posted by MadelynIris
Sorry, I'm not predicting that there will be a war with Iraq... just predicting how it will begin.
LOL...true.

I think a large air assault is very likely, considering the nature of military strikes over the past decade. The heavy cruise missile release wouldn't surprise me.

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Old 01-25-2003, 05:26 PM   #8
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good thing militairy strikes arent expensive $$ wise either.
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Old 02-03-2003, 10:00 AM   #9
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Cow of Seas, I like your comments..... they really make me grin...

I'm not being sarcastic, i read your comments on the Iraq/Pakistan thread... I really think you can say alot without writing a lot.

peace
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Old 02-03-2003, 05:47 PM   #10
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I believe there are US special ops on the ground right now.

I beleive there will be some moderate bombing from the air (military targets)

I believe the US troops will have the location of Saddam surrounded within the first 48 hours and will then fight off any resistance from Iraqi ground forces.

As the gulf war was a lesson in attacking from the flanks, I believe this war will be ver different and will be an example of attacking from the inside out.

The US will create a central troop allocation in Baghdad to mentally wear down the Iraqis by taking the capital quickly and swiftly, then like a doughnut the inside forces witll work their way out and the inside forces will work their way in.

Remember - this time it is not about bombing the country and scaring the Iraqis out of Kuwait, it is about taking over the government and ridding the land of Saddam - otherwise this whole thing would be pointless...
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Old 02-03-2003, 05:50 PM   #11
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Quote:
Originally posted by Amna
Cow of Seas, I like your comments..... they really make me grin...

I'm not being sarcastic, i read your comments on the Iraq/Pakistan thread... I really think you can say alot without writing a lot.

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thank you.
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Old 02-03-2003, 05:51 PM   #12
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Ouizy - the best analysis yet!
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Old 02-03-2003, 06:26 PM   #13
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Last time they said that they were going to attack by sea. THey faked it. THis time they are leaking missles.....

I am leaning Ouizy's way.
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Old 02-03-2003, 07:01 PM   #14
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The inside out senerio could work, but it seems to be predicated on knowing where Saddam is, which is highly unlikely since he is always on the move. In addition, the only forces that could be in a position to do such an operation would be light infantry forces. Any time you use light infantry, they run the risk of being pinned down by heavier Iraqi forces.

I'm not saying it won't happen or that its not possible because this is how Panama operation was done in 1989. But the Panamanian military only number a few thousand with few weapon systems compared to the Iraqi military that at full strength is 430,000 with 2,200 tanks, 2,100 artillery.

The USA has more than 1,000 70 ton M1A2 tanks are in Kuwait and Turkey or on the way. They are from 3 Army heavy Divisions, the 3rd Infantry Division, 4th Infantry Division, and 1st Armored Division. Clearly these forces are not just for show, and have been called in because they will potentially be needed.

When Saddam feels the attack is imminent, he may very well strike first in some way.
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Old 02-04-2003, 05:50 PM   #15
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true,

I simply cannot imagine the US military will take the attack from the outside apporach. Forget the number of miles needed to travel to Baghdad, the neighbors of Iraq are not friendly and we do not have full use of the bases we did in Gulf War 1.

I change my prediction somewhat to air strikes, followed by Blackhawk choppers dropping forces downtown.

Then we go inside out.
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