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Old 01-09-2008, 03:10 AM   #1
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Michigan Primary predictions

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Old 01-09-2008, 03:33 AM   #2
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Re: Michigan Primary predictions

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Old 01-09-2008, 06:20 AM   #3
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Ron Paul

Barack Obama
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Old 01-09-2008, 06:35 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally posted by Infinitum98
Ron Paul

Barack Obama
The only Dem on the ticket is Hilary in Michigan.
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Old 01-09-2008, 11:35 AM   #5
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Quote:
Originally posted by Infinitum98

Barack Obama
lol...not
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Old 01-09-2008, 12:15 PM   #6
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Quote:
Originally posted by Infinitum98
Ron Paul
You really think Ron Paul comes in first? Didn't you think he would also win Iowa and NH?
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Old 01-09-2008, 02:59 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally posted by phillyfan26


The only Dem on the ticket is Hilary in Michigan.
Oh, I didn't know that. I guess my prediction is Hillary.
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Old 01-09-2008, 03:00 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally posted by 2861U2


You really think Ron Paul comes in first? Didn't you think he would also win Iowa and NH?
Yup.
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Old 01-09-2008, 03:23 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally posted by Infinitum98


Oh, I didn't know that. I guess my prediction is Hillary.
Mine as well.
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Old 01-09-2008, 07:04 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally posted by phillyfan26
The only Dem on the ticket is Hilary in Michigan.
Why's that?
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Old 01-09-2008, 07:40 PM   #11
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Michigan is one of several states being punished by both national parties, but (in their case) more harshly so by the Dems, for having unilaterally bumped up their primary dates against the national parties' wishes. MI's GOP has been stripped of half its delegates to the nominating convention, and the Democrats of all of theirs (though some doubt the national parties will follow through with those threats). The national Democratic party also pressured their candidates to withdraw from MI's ballot and not campaign there, though Kucinich, Gravel and to a lesser extent Clinton (who stayed on the ballot but hasn't campaigned) have not complied. Essentially, this was a rebellion on the states' part against the entrenched lockhold of Iowa and New Hampshire on setting the tenor for the primary race every time.
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Old 01-09-2008, 07:43 PM   #12
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Quote:
Originally posted by yolland
Essentially, this was a rebellion on the states' part against the entrenched lockhold of Iowa and New Hampshire on setting the tenor for the primary race every time.
Damn straight. I will be showing up to vote in it just for this reason alone.
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Old 01-09-2008, 07:45 PM   #13
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I'll wait until I see some current polls before I make a prediction, but I assume it's basically a McCain/Romney fight.
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Old 01-09-2008, 07:50 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally posted by yolland
Essentially, this was a rebellion on the states' part against the entrenched lockhold of Iowa and New Hampshire on setting the tenor for the primary race every time.
Can someone explain to me why Iowa and New Hampshire have so much power in every Presidential election. Shouldn't all 50 states have equal power? Why can't we strip down this whole complicated delegates and electoral system and make it a simple popular vote system? One popular vote for all the Republicans for the whole country to choose the Republican candidate. One for the Democrats and then one for the general election. I think that would be much more fair.
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Old 01-09-2008, 07:54 PM   #15
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Some states almost always go the same direction. Michigan is a "swing" state (typically quite close, can go GOP or Dem). Iowa and NH are also swing states. It probably also has to do with the Electoral College and what's at stake depending on which states you will automatically win and which swing states you can pick up.

Like melon, I plan to vote.
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