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Old 11-01-2004, 06:00 AM   #61
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I can't see anyway that Bush won't be voted in. That's my call. I'm English though, so I can't do anything about it.
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Old 11-01-2004, 06:02 AM   #62
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Well I think that, from the polling and the trends in past elections, that it is 75% probability that Bush gets in again with a 95% propability of the Democrats saying that the election was "stolen", a 95% CI of 1,1 that Michael Moore with act like an wanker regardless of the result.

Oh and Tizer, you could "write a letter to a swing state voter", I almost spilt my Ouzo when I heard that The Guardian was trying that
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Old 11-01-2004, 06:58 AM   #63
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I'll buy that--a 75% chance that Bush gets in, a 25% chance that Kerry gets in. Last night my dad, who, unlike me, is still watching the TV news, told me that just about every poll had Bush ahead, in all the big states, but the pollsters on the Internet are claiming it's too close to call. In fact, so did the Investor's Business Daily edition for today.
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Old 11-01-2004, 07:00 AM   #64
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At least Kerry isn't touting Fuzzy Math to show his inevitable victory, we all know what happened last time.
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Old 11-01-2004, 07:06 AM   #65
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It would be stupid for either guy to claim "inevitable victory" with the polls showing it this close. You notice that they are not although they're putting out "optimist spin".
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Old 11-01-2004, 09:25 AM   #66
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All Im going say is this.
One blogger who is Conservative has this projected 24 hrs before-
Bush 286, Kerry 252 -Electoral College.

Another Liberal has this projected-
Kerry-298
Bush-234

We will soon know in about 36 hours who is the most accurate and most reliable source.
I say let the chips fall where they may.

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Old 11-01-2004, 11:34 AM   #67
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Zogby battleground polls has the midwest states (except Ohio-correction) breaking for Kerry today. Amazing...

These states (MN, WI, IA, MI) add up to 44 electoral votes.
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Old 11-01-2004, 11:40 AM   #68
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so..if Bush gets Ohio and Florida?
who wins?

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Old 11-01-2004, 11:44 AM   #69
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Bush must win both Ohio and Florida, but if Kerry wins one of the two, he will be president.
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Old 11-01-2004, 11:48 AM   #70
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i see
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Old 11-01-2004, 12:45 PM   #71
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There is a belief that whoever takes two out of the three states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania will win. Geez, I'm going to check Zogby's site, the news from there is sounding good.
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Old 11-01-2004, 01:04 PM   #72
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Predictions:

Bush wins: AL, AK, AZ, AR, CO, FL, GA, ID, IN, KS, KY, LA, MS, MO, NE, NV, NC, ND, OK, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, WV, WI, WY

Kerry wins: CA, CT, DE, DC, HI, IL, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, NH, NM, NY, OH, OR, PA, RI, VT, WA

EV's
Bush: 264
Kerry: 274

Winner: President-Elect Kerry
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Old 11-01-2004, 01:22 PM   #73
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Quote:
Originally posted by DaveC
Predictions:

Bush wins: AL, AK, AZ, AR, CO, FL, GA, ID, IN, KS, KY, LA, MS, MO, NE, NV, NC, ND, OK, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, WV, WI, WY

Kerry wins: CA, CT, DE, DC, HI, IL, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, NH, NM, NY, OH, OR, PA, RI, VT, WA

EV's
Bush: 264
Kerry: 274

Winner: President-Elect Kerry
i do not see bush losing the ohio and new mexico.
hawaii bush may swipe
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Old 11-01-2004, 01:28 PM   #74
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Quote:
Originally posted by diamond

i do not see bush losing the ohio and new mexico.
hawaii bush may swipe
db9
Bush has already lost Ohio.

New Mexico might go to Bush, but it's VERY unlikely considering the polling numbers. Hawaii will definitely be a Kerry win.
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Old 11-01-2004, 01:37 PM   #75
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Quote:
Originally posted by DaveC


Bush has already lost Ohio.

New Mexico might go to Bush, but it's VERY unlikely considering the polling numbers. Hawaii will definitely be a Kerry win.
dave c,
im quoting you on this.
these quotes will go down in infamy or u may become a rising star thanks to me quoting you

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