Irvine511 said:
but this is precisely the point. this is why Israel's tactics are doomed to fail in the long run and why Hezbollah (or any terrorist organization that implants within the local population) has actually defeated Israel, or whoever, with this particular move. this is why bombing is such a bad idea -- innocent civilians die, because hezbollah wants them to die, because dead 6 year olds killed by Israeli bombs mean more recruits. Israel is doing Hezbollah's recruiting work for them. violence begets violence. in some ways, it's very simple.
but why are they bombing the regular Lebanese army north of Beirut if their real enemy is Hizbullah, a southern Shiite paramilitary? why are they bombing radio relay stations?
again, it's HILARIOUS that you compare each and every single conflict to WW2, as if these are even remotely comparable. does the word "distinction" mean anything to you? how about "nuance"? it's not that i think Hezbollah should be allowed to use roads (way to re-frame the question and ignore the issue) and that i don't think civilians in Beirut should suffer enormous damage to infrastructure that will foment a humanitarian crisis.
hmmm ... guess not. check out Yolland's post.
and we'll all go back to 1982, and the Israeli population will be bled by another prolonged occupation that will engender the hatred of Israel in yet another generation of Arabs. the only way this conflict can end is for the Lebanese state to be strengthened so that it has a hope of dealing with Hizbullah. Israel's actions are not strengthening the Lebanese state and are making average Israeli's less safe in the long run.
No, its really not the simple, or Israel would have been wiped off the map decades ago. Its true that insurgency's are difficult to fight, contain or defeat, but sometimes this is the only option. Terrorist or insurgence hug the civilian population and use the civilian population as a way to shield themselves from a military organization like the IDF that is unwilling to use indiscriminate military force to accomplish its objectives. But, remove the population from the equation and the insurgents are have little if any way to defend themselves and can quickly be defeated.
By pushing the entire civilian Lebanese population from a 20 mile area from the Lebanon/Israely border, the IDF will be able to establish an effective buffer zone that will mean that 98% of Hezbollah's rockets are out of range of Israel. Between 1982 and 2000, Israel did have a buffer zone, but they did not clear the civlian population from the area, which allowed for an insurgent movement to always be present. Clear a 20 mile area of any civilians, and no insurgent movement will be possible. The only people in the zone will be the IDF, and anyone else would be regarded as an insurgent. The rules of engagement become easy for the IDF, and Hezbollah will find it nearly impossible to go up against the IDF without a civilian population to hide behind.
With Israeli towns secure from the vast majority of rockets, and the northern population is not staying close to the shelters and going about their daily lives, Israel would have accomplished its most immediate objective which is the safety of its citizens in the North. The IDF will be in firm control of a buffer zone or "no mans land" with only IDF members allowed to come an go.
Under these conditions, a negotiated settlement can be attempted. Lebanenese infrustructure can be rebuilt, and work on political, economic and military development can continue. If Hezbollah will agree to disarm, Israel will leave the buffer zone and have it filled with a NATO or UN force that is robust and ready to fight, like the forces that were deployed in Bosnia and Kosovo were. The civilian population that once lived in the buffer zone can then return. But if these conditions are not met, then the IDF will hold onto the buffer zone indefinitely.
In the IDF's bombing campaign, they are going to hit any area that is being used by Hezbollah for supplies or from where they are firing missiles. Hezbollah uses civilian neighborhoods in Beirut to fire missiles. That is why the IDF has struck back at these area's and also hit area's where the Lebanese military is stationed and where the UN is stationed. Hezbollah fires from these area's hoping that it will protect them or at the very least cause Israel political difficulties when they miss.
Any military conflict, whether it took place 2,000 years ago, 60 years ago, or 3 years ago will often have lessons, parallels to conflicts today in terms of specific things like military strategy etc. The importance of logistics to any military force, whether it be Napolean's grand army in Europe, Hitler's army in France in 1944, Saddam's military in Iraq, the Taliban in Afghanistan, or even Hezbollah in Lebanon in 2006 are dependent upon supplies in order to continue several of their operations. It is true that a military organization like Hezbollah is more decentralized and prepared for being cut off from logistical support then a larger more conventional military would be, but the fundamentals remain the same. If Iran is really the big supplier and supporter of Hezbollah as everyone claims that it is, the interdiction of key supply routes into Lebanon is vital to insuring that such supplies is stopped from reaching Hezbollah or substantially reduced. That is why hitting the roads, hitting the birdges, closing down the airport, closing the sea ports, is important to the operation. No it won't stop Hezbollah from fighting, but over time it will degrade their ability to fight.
No one wants the civilians in Lebanon to suffer a humanitarian crises anymore than the United States wanted the people of Afghanistan to suffer or in Iraq to suffer as a result of military operations in their back yard. As bad as living in Northern France in 1944 under Nazi control may have been, it got a lot worse for French civilians as the Allies invaded in the summer of 1944. 20,000 dead civilians within days of the beach landings and a humanitarian crises that would dwarf anything that we have seen in Iraq or Lebanon today. In both cases, the Allies in 1944 in France, or the Israeli's in 2006 in Lebanon, both military forces did not want to harm a single civilian and did everything in their power at the time to reduce that amount of damage to civilians that came as a result of targeting the enemy.
I read Yollands post and there are plenty of inaccurate statements and assumptions in the article.
Israel can occupy Lebanon if it needs to for the next 100 years. Israel lost 2,700 troops and over 7,000 wounded in the Yom Kipper war of 1973 which only lasted 20 days! Thats 135 troops killed per day. The occupation of Lebanon by comparison which lasted 20 years only caused the deaths of 675 Israeli soldiers or about 1 soldier every 10 days. It terms of casualties, it was far less costly then several of the wars Israel had fought previous to the conflict, and protected the Israeli population from attacks during the time when the occupation zone extended far enough into Lebanon to keep rockets and other types of attacks out of range.
Many people in Israel criticized the pull out of Lebanon in 2000. Proponents predicted Hezbollah would stop fighting and Israel would have peace on their northern border. They were wrong. They were also wrong when they predicted that the Syrians and Palestinians were ready to negotiate deals to end the conflict. Israel gave both groups 95% of what they wanted, and the rejected the peace deals. Israel has been willing to negotiate and compromise on just about every single issue you can think of, but the Palestinians, Hezbollah, and the Syrians have rejected every peace proposal and offer from 1948 to today.
From 2000 to 2006, without Israeli interference in Lebanon, Hezbollah grew in both size and strength. The Hezbollah forces in Lebanon today are far better equiped and trained than at any time during the Israeli occupation. Their numbers are also larger than they were during the occupation. This is what withdrawal has brought Israel. Hezbollah has gone from being a terrorist/insurgent force to being nearly a professional military force with capabilities comparable to some of the regional military forces.
Israel would prefer a strong Lebanon that is able to exercise complete control over its territory, but the reality is that it is light years away from being able to do that, and 6 years of Israel being out of Lebanon has made Hezbollah stronger, NOT weaker. Hezbollah must be disarmed if there is ever to be a strong Lebanese government and military that will be able to control and police its own territory.
That is what is needed for the long term. In the short term though, Israel has far more important and pressing matters to think about like the lives of its people which are threatened by the constant barrage of Hezbollah rockets coming into Israel. Ending the rocket threat to northern Israeli towns is and should be the immediate goal of the IDF. In addition, Hezbollah must be weakened from a military standpoint. It has had 6 years to equip itself with a vast arsenal of weapons, and will not be very amenable to negotiations until it is weakened in this respect and is unable to inflict the level of terror and damage it is currently able to inflict on the Israeli population.
Even Anti-Iraq War democrats have come out in support of Israel's current response to Hezbollah. The fact is, conditions on the ground must be changed in order for a negotiated settlement to work and for Lebanon to be able to progress into the future. It will not work as long as Hezbollah is armed to the teeth and rocketing Israeli towns when ever they feel like it.
Israel is prepared to live with a democratic and prosperous Lebanon or a Lebanon that is a failed state. In each situation, Israel will insure its security and its peoples way of life as it has done so successfully despite all the odds since 1948. Israel's will never compromise the lives of its citizens for naive and foolish peace deals that will never hold up or accomplish their aims. Israel has successfully negotiated from a position of strength in the past and that is what it will do in the future. Israel took the Egyptian Sinai during the Yom Kipper War of 1973 and did not give it back until many years later when a lasting peace deal on Israel's terms was signed.
Stop the rocketing of Israeli towns, weaken Hezbollah's military strength in terms of equipment, create a buffer zone in South Lebanon, and then you will have set the conditions under which a negotiated settlement will have a chance of being approved and holding. If Hezbollah refuses to negotiate, then Israel can continue to bomb what ever remains of its military forces without Israeli towns being rocketed since the buffer zone would have pushed the vast majority of Hezbollah rockets out of range. Israel has proven over the past 58 years that it can live with what ever the Arab world wants to throw at them.