INDY500
Rock n' Roll Doggie Band-aid
I'm feeling a tremor in the force.
So I must admit that I haven't been paying much attention lately...
...so does Newt actually have a chance to win the nomination?
I don't think so. InTrade currently gives it to Romney at 89%.
Here's how I think it plays out. Romney wins Florida, probably by double-digits. In February Gingrich suffers because there is only one debate, and the states voting are Nevada, Maine, Colorado, Arizona, Minnesota, Michigan- all states where Romney either won last time or has a good lead in the polls this time.
Gingrich will probably win a few states on Super Tuesday (Oklahoma, Georgia, a couple others), but Romney essentially takes the day. Once we hit April the remaining states become winner-take-all in terms of the delegates, and most of the remaining states favor Romney. Because Gingrich is a punk, the nomination probably doesn't get settled until April sometime. Actually, looking at the calendar, April 24 has 5 states voting, all in the northeast, including delegate-rich New York and Pennsylvania. That may be the end of it.
People (in the Republican base) don't like Mitt because they know he's only telling them what they want to hear.
I recommend the book Republic, Lost for much more on this matter. I've been saying it for decades. It is categorically NOT a partisan or Left/Right issue.
I'm feeling a tremor in the force.
I'm feeling a tremor in the force.
Couldn't the same be said about the other GOP candidates, save for Ron Paul? They're all about as patronizing as can be, really.
Oh, yeah, the guy who rails against the stimulus, then uses it to balance his state's budget. What a fucking champ
"The language of GOP racial politics is heavy on euphemisms that allow the speaker to deny any responsibility for the racial content of his message. The code words in this game are 'entitlement society' — as used by Mitt Romney — and 'poor work ethic' and 'food stamp president' — as used by Newt Gingrich. References to a lack of respect for the 'Founding Fathers' and the 'Constitution' also make certain ears perk up by demonizing anyone supposedly threatening core 'old-fashioned American values,'" - Juan Williams, not backing down from the question he posed to Newt Gingrich.
Not Santorum, he's the real deal - which is why he is unelectable. And I think Rick Perry, Michelle Bachmann and Herman Cain were fairly sincere as well.
But there is a special section reserved for Romney when it comes to contorting oneself to make oneself digestible to the base. Not even McCain took it that far.
The truth is, as far as the GOP goes, this all about the myth of Reaganism.
Big Government Republicans masking themselves as fiscal conservatives.
The base wants a 'Reaganite' and don't realize that both Romney and Gingrich - as well as Santorum - are all Bush/Reagan Big Government Republicans. In other words, they only see Reagan as the myth, much like liberals see Clinton, who was about the most fiscally conservative President of the last 50 years.
This is why, last Fall, I thought Rick Perry would sail to the nomination. He sure seemed to be the one guy that could sell real fiscal conservatism. But who could have guessed he would have been so terrible of a candidate?
So that's what it is...a charade. And this is why the base is disgruntled, they are (more or less - the majority) getting wise to it. But they'll swallow Romney if it means beating Obama.
Everyone wants Big Government, because slashing programs - more than just about anything - can cost elections. This is why the Bush congress, for six years, cut taxes and didn't cut spending. They don't really believe what they are saying, they are too afraid to lose an election...which circles back around to term limits
just to further an earlier point:
"The language of GOP racial politics is heavy on euphemisms that allow the speaker to deny any responsibility for the racial content of his message. The code words in this game are 'entitlement society' — as used by Mitt Romney — and 'poor work ethic' and 'food stamp president' — as used by Newt Gingrich. References to a lack of respect for the 'Founding Fathers' and the 'Constitution' also make certain ears perk up by demonizing anyone supposedly threatening core 'old-fashioned American values,'" - Juan Williams, not backing down from the question he posed to Newt Gingrich.
of course, this is a black man saying this, so i'm sure he sees race in everything.
Pleased with his headway, Norquist is now mapping out how he can ensure further anti-tax victories by securing Republican majorities. In an interview with the National Journal, he mused that a GOP mandate would obviously enact an extension of the Bush tax cuts, work to maintain a repatriation holiday for corporate profits, and even pass House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan’s (R-WI) plan that jeopardizes Medicare. But when asked what Republicans should do if faced with a Democratic majority that won’t keep the tax cuts, Norquist had a simple answer: “impeach” Obama.
NJ: What if the Democrats still have control? What’s your scenario then?
NORQUIST: Obama can sit there and let all the tax [cuts] lapse, and then the Republicans will have enough votes in the Senate in 2014 to impeach. The last year, he’s gone into this huddle where he does everything by executive order. He’s made no effort to work with Congress.
Caleb8844 said:So what he and you are saying is that only minorities have poor work ethic, use food stamps, and abuse entitlements? Cuz that's what I'm hearing.
So what he and you are saying is that only minorities have poor work ethic, use food stamps, and abuse entitlements? Cuz that's what I'm hearing.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nm4uv1_m0kEMcCain, I think, just fell into that "grumpy old person" scenario. Not to sound stereotypical, but I truly think that's what happened.
Watching McCain throughout 2008 had its amusing moments,
This is why you can't work with the Republicans.
That's what Newt is saying because that's what will get some of the GOP base to vote for him.
“I believe every American of every background has been endowed by their Creator with the right to pursue happiness and if that makes liberals unhappy I’m going to continue to find ways to help poor people learn how to get a job…learn how to get a better job…and learn some day own the job.”
just to further an earlier point:
"References to a lack of respect for the 'Founding Fathers' and the 'Constitution' also make certain ears perk up..."