2016 US Presidential Election Pt. IV - Page 34 - U2 Feedback

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Old 01-27-2016, 06:26 PM   #496
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CNN is going to carry Trump's rally opposite the Fox News Debate. Will be interesting to see the ratings.
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Old 01-28-2016, 11:39 AM   #497
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watch for Rubio to overperform and Trump to underperform. Cruz has peaked.

Hillary will win Iowa, but not by much.
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Old 01-28-2016, 12:32 PM   #498
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Hard to say about Iowa and Hillary. Des Moines now considers itself the hippest place on earth, and they love Bernie.....and if he doesn't win, then they won't vote in the election. Kind of a sour grapes, but that's young people for you

I won't be shocked if Bernie wins, but I think after NH, he's done.

No clue on the GOP side. Iowa picks the wrong candidate every cycle, and it's because their method only brings out the nuts.
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Old 01-28-2016, 01:59 PM   #499
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watch for Rubio to overperform and Trump to underperform. Cruz has peaked.

Hillary will win Iowa, but not by much.
and this means if Trump wins with 29% Cruz 26% and Rubio 19%

your takeaway is correct??


and then if or when Trump wins the chorus will be Iowa winner does not get the nomination, yada, yada, yada


these cauci, as I said last time and everytime, are total and complete crap
someone will get the nomination, and then people will go back and fill in for their own bias

in 2008 Iowa was paramount for choosing one of the nominees, case in point
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Old 01-28-2016, 02:17 PM   #500
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and this means if Trump wins with 29% Cruz 26% and Rubio 19%

your takeaway is correct??


and then if or when Trump wins the chorus will be Iowa winner does not get the nomination, yada, yada, yada


these cauci, as I said last time and everytime, are total and complete crap
someone will get the nomination, and then people will go back and fill in for their own bias

in 2008 Iowa was paramount for choosing one of the nominees, case in point



of course the GOP race in Iowa is crap. however, if it shows a specific candidate has "momentum," it can pay off later down the stretch.

my sense is that Cruz has had his moment, and that the establishment is going to rally around Rubio as the best non-Trump option if he looks like he has "momentum." what Rubio needs to do is outperform his polling. he may lose again in New Hampshire, but if he outperforms his polling again, he will look good in the slave southern states.
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Old 01-28-2016, 02:20 PM   #501
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(yankee) Trump will do better in slave states than fake, whiny Southerner Marco Rubio.
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Old 01-28-2016, 02:24 PM   #502
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(yankee) Trump will do better in slave states than fake, whiny Southerner Marco Rubio.

Trump may well do better -- but all Rubio needs to do is become the non-Trump. that's what's going to happen over the next few weeks. Trump vs. not-Trump. my sense, right now, is that Rubio is looking best to be not-Trump.

he's not a fake, whiny Southerner. he's the GOP's Obama: vaguely foreign looking kid who made good and may or may not be an empty suit with bad credit.

he's going to get quite a scolding from his 3rd grade teacher, Mrs. Clinton, in the general.
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Old 01-28-2016, 03:11 PM   #503
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Once Fiorina, Kasich, Paul, and Carson get out of the race (Paul I only include because I think his tactic of a boycott backfired when he appeared to be a big baby about it)... and probably Christie too... it will be a lot clearer as to what is steam versus what is made to stay.

I, for one, don't think Jeb Bush is done. There's this big anti-establishment majority right now, but I think those are just the energized voices. There's an arbitrary amount of establishment support that I think will start to turn around, be that for Bush or Christie.
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Old 01-28-2016, 05:13 PM   #504
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I honestly don't see Rubio making it. I thought he'd be the last man standing before this all started but he comes across as so lazy, so high-schoolish in debates and just generally like an annoying person who studied hard and is book smart but nobody actually likes at the end of the day. On paper he looks great, in real life, totally different story.

I also wouldn't count out Jebbie quite yet, even though he's been the singularly most disappointing candidate.
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Old 01-28-2016, 06:10 PM   #505
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I honestly don't see Rubio making it. I thought he'd be the last man standing before this all started but he comes across as so lazy, so high-schoolish in debates and just generally like an annoying person who studied hard and is book smart but nobody actually likes at the end of the day.
Likeability works, and it's hard to fake.
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Old 01-28-2016, 07:29 PM   #506
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Have you heard/read about his former Freshman year roommate's Twitter account about how loathsome he was even at 19?

Fuckin' Craig Mazin: An Appreciation of Ted Cruz's College Roommate*

It's a joy to read.
No i hadn't seen that but thanks

I love this part:

Quote:
And, in a quote that holds just as true today, Mazin said he wouldn’t be voting for the guy for president: “I would rather have anybody else be the president of the United States. Anyone. I would rather pick somebody from the phone book.”
He said he would rather pick someone from the phone book...that's so great....i kind of feel the same way! Isn't it interesting that everyone who actually knows Ted Cruz hates him?
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Old 01-28-2016, 07:58 PM   #507
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After the first couple of primaries, as the riff raff start to drop off, a clear establishment candidate will come out... Whoever that is will have in the nomination. Probably Rubio.

Perhaps this is me just thinking that the Republican electorate isn't made up entirely of racist idiots. Only partially.
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Old 01-28-2016, 08:20 PM   #508
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So this guy has been showing up wherever Ted Cruz appears lately:

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Old 01-28-2016, 08:38 PM   #509
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That guy rocks


Sent from my iPhone using U2 Interference
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Old 01-28-2016, 10:43 PM   #510
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This is the first debate I've watched and it's pretty amazing. Christie pivoted a Kim Davis question into ISIS in only 30 seconds, and Carson appeared to blackout in the middle of a question about Russia and spit out something like "Putin is a one horse ... country ... oil ... energy."
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