2012 US Presidential Election Superthread
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mikal
Blue Crack Addict
It's funny because there's this Packers forum I post at and they say that Rasmussen polls are the only unbiased ones and that Romney is going to win in a landslide. Pure entertainment.
Complete divorce from reality.
It is one thing to believe this is a toss-up (I disagree) but it's completely something else to believe that Romney will win in a landslide. I almost wish I had Fox News to watch on Tuesday night.
It is one thing to believe this is a toss-up (I disagree) but it's completely something else to believe that Romney will win in a landslide. I almost wish I had Fox News to watch on Tuesday night.
mikal
Blue Crack Addict
anitram said:
Yeah they're basically calling all the pollsters "biased". I almost want to link the forum here. Lol
corianderstem
Blue Crack Distributor
I'm voting for whomever Aaron Rogers is voting for.
mikal
Blue Crack Addict
corianderstem said:
INDY500
Rock n' Roll Doggie Band-aid
Indy is just sad because he's lived through a real recovery. A booming recovery after a decade that gave us federal wage & price controls, stagflation and the Misery Index.
Unemployment was over 10% early in Reagan's first term also but he was reelected with 7% GDP growth, 59% of the popular vote and carried 49 states.
Indy is just sad because America is not the land of "it could have been worse" and yet 47%, yes I said it, 47% of Americans seem content with that.
PhilsFan
Blue Crack Addict
The full statement is, "It could have been worse, you could have elected a Republican."
MrsSpringsteen
Blue Crack Addict
47%? Would that be the entitled victims? Bet there will be even more of those after Sandy too. 5,4,3,2,1 before that starts somewhere. Of course we already had the comment about Gucci bags and massage parlors.
The unemployment rate when Reagan was elected was 7.2 %. He also called it some kind of new dawn in America or something like that. I heard about that on the news recently but I don't have time to Google it.
The unemployment rate when Reagan was elected was 7.2 %. He also called it some kind of new dawn in America or something like that. I heard about that on the news recently but I don't have time to Google it.
LuckyNumber7
Blue Crack Addict
Lol... "Mitt Romney's family has more people in it than a Tyler Perry movie."
That's golden. Reminds me of Thomas Jefferson's Family Guy family portrait with 'the whole family':
That's golden. Reminds me of Thomas Jefferson's Family Guy family portrait with 'the whole family':
LuckyNumber7
Blue Crack Addict
In other news, I took today to read up on the Florida Amendments.
Couldn't believe Amendment #8 was seriously on the ballot and it angers me.
Before we know it, the churches will have lobbyist powers, we'll be charged tithes for our sins, and it will be illegal to be Muslim in Florida. Fuck that. Obnoxious breach in separation of church and state.
Couldn't believe Amendment #8 was seriously on the ballot and it angers me.
Before we know it, the churches will have lobbyist powers, we'll be charged tithes for our sins, and it will be illegal to be Muslim in Florida. Fuck that. Obnoxious breach in separation of church and state.
deep
Blue Crack Addict
GOD HATES FAGS
THOU SHALL NOT KILL, means what it says
EVEN UNBORN BABIES CONCEIVED AGAINST ONE"S WILL
ok, now give me taxpayers money, thanks
THOU SHALL NOT KILL, means what it says
EVEN UNBORN BABIES CONCEIVED AGAINST ONE"S WILL
ok, now give me taxpayers money, thanks
Jeannieco
Rock n' Roll Doggie Band-aid
Oh boy.
I am sure there are idiots at Pres.O's rallies too but this is frightening. Brought to you by Faux News and Limbaugh et al...
Ohio Romney Rally - Interviews with Supporters - YouTube
I am sure there are idiots at Pres.O's rallies too but this is frightening. Brought to you by Faux News and Limbaugh et al...Ohio Romney Rally - Interviews with Supporters - YouTube
Steved1998
Rock n' Roll Doggie
Anyone want to place bets on what the electoral tally will be?
Obama:303 Romney:235
I'm going to go ahead and go with you and Nate Silver on that. To me, this election interests me tremendously as a referendum on Nate Silver. I like him a lot, and I'll be interested to see if that is justified.
I'm also starting to wonder if Obama has a chance at Florida again. Things have been tightening there lately.
Steved1998
Rock n' Roll Doggie
I gave Romney Florida, but I think it will be close, if not go to Obama. Romney just seems to have collapsed and is just waiting for this thing to end.
deep
Blue Crack Addict
.
LuckyNumber7
Blue Crack Addict
The way things are going in Florida (and this might just be because I haven't been in South Florida in a while), I'd say it's a Romney state for sure.
Then again, I'm very used to the ultra-liberal South so I could just be well out of place in Central Florida.
Then again, I'm very used to the ultra-liberal South so I could just be well out of place in Central Florida.
AchtungBono
Refugee
I would just like to wish everybody good luck and may the best man win.
purpleoscar
Rock n' Roll Doggie ALL ACCESS
It'll be interesting to see which narrative holds up with Romney in PA, WI, & MI. If he loses he campaigned there to replace electoral votes lost in Ohio. If he wins it was to expand his lead.
It'll also be interesting to see if the charges that 2008 enthusiasm being used in 2012 polls was accurate or not.
Dick Morris and Nate Silver have both gone on the ledge. One prognosticator or another is going to get shit on their face.
Rasumussen is Nate Silver's competitor so it will be another poll to compare for accuracy.
It'll also be interesting to see if the charges that 2008 enthusiasm being used in 2012 polls was accurate or not.
Dick Morris and Nate Silver have both gone on the ledge. One prognosticator or another is going to get shit on their face.
Rasumussen is Nate Silver's competitor so it will be another poll to compare for accuracy.
PhilsFan
Blue Crack Addict
I live in central PA and people still don't really trust Romney. I expect that back home in Philly but not here. This is a really Republican area. Look at the command GT Thompson has over this district. But they do not like Romney.
LuckyNumber7
Blue Crack Addict
My guess is something like a 2004 Bush over Kerry defeat, in favor of Obama.
deep
Blue Crack Addict
that was a one state win
and many believe there were shenanigans, perhaps not enough to flip the vote, but enough to move the his margin of winning in the one state, Ohio.
and many believe there were shenanigans, perhaps not enough to flip the vote, but enough to move the his margin of winning in the one state, Ohio.
LuckyNumber7
Blue Crack Addict
I was just referring to the numbers, not the specific situation.
Not even close.
You are comparing apples and oranges. Rasmussen is a pollster who conducts his own polls and publishes them. Nate Silver is somebody who uses mathematical models to aggregate polls carried out by people like Rasmussen.
So they are not competing at all.
Moonlit_Angel
Blue Crack Addict
I haven't paid much attention to the polls, because who knows what's going on with the data in many of them.
I just know I'm seeing a lot of Obama/Biden signs throughout my town, so...there's that
. I do think our state will likely go for Obama as many of the things people have been sharing here have predicted.
I just know I'm seeing a lot of Obama/Biden signs throughout my town, so...there's that
. I do think our state will likely go for Obama as many of the things people have been sharing here have predicted.
purpleoscar
Rock n' Roll Doggie ALL ACCESS
What is the difference? They are both competing on predictions. I didn't say Nate Silver is polling people.
See competition:
Rasmussen Reports - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
What is the difference? They are both competing on predictions. I didn't say Nate Silver is polling people.
It's a dumb comparison IMO because one controls whom he polls. The other has imperfect information - he is using other people's polls/polling methods.
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