At this point, I am 95% confident that we will have an album this year.
1-Bono said in an official U2.com video that there would be an album this year
2-They have on several occasions confirmed that the album is either done or almost done (Bono and Edge talk about "tinkering" and Adam I believed said it was done.
3-sources "close" to the band or industry have heard single in September and album on 12/1 (U2 Songs, Registered Dude..I count him
)
4-Headache is optimistic about the album coming out and he is usually a downer when it comes to that stuff
5-They are playing songs off the album for the media and executives
6- Never feed them after midnight....wait, that's from another list and I think it's an important one.
7- the 12/1 date is very specific, is after the JT tour wraps and falls in line with holiday sales. True, holiday sales are not what they used to be but the industry as a whole is way down and that time of year is still the "gem" of sales time.
Yes, they can change their mind but at the moment, I firmly believe that the intent is to release a new album in November or December of this year