babyman
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Axver said:
Tana Umaga
This name equals Rugby, you can easily translate this name with rugby.................
What a player, really miss him! What is he doing now?
Axver said:
Tana Umaga
babyman said:This name equals Rugby, you can easily translate this name with rugby.................
What a player, really miss him! What is he doing now?
hey axver, as you know 'they're predictable unpredictable...' (Andrew Mehrtens)Axver: The French can be unpredictable though.
jacobus said:hey axver, as you know 'they're predictable unpredictable...' (Andrew Mehrtens)
in fact the frogs are some kind of a bogeyman for the ABs ... 1999
Axver said:
Truer words about Aussie commentary have not been spoken! I particularly hate how they rope in a token Kiwi for Bledisloe Cup games, but it usually tends to be the least intelligent and articulate Kiwi in the entire country. And when it's not a woefully thick one, it's somebody who's weak-willed and just lets the Aussie commentators jabber on with their nonsense.
Channel 10 really were hilarious after the NZ vs Italy game. I loved how they were trying to talk down the All Blacks' victory by pointing out that Australia didn't let in any tries against Japan. Hmm, wonder why? Probably has something to do with the fact Italy's 9th in the world and Japan's 18th, below even Romania and Georgia!
Axver said:
I have concerns for the international game too, mainly due to the complete dominance New Zealand manages to apply (post-1987 World Cup semi-finals excluded). Unless you're South Africa and maybe Wales, you really can't say you've ever been consistently competitive with the All Blacks. Australia's current success makes a bit more sense when considered in historical context. I maintain the Wallabies at the moment are a flash in the pan and are already showing signs of serious decline.
Australia was not at all a rugby force until the 1980s, partly due to the fact that they got continual experience in the Bledisloe Cup. If you spend decades playing quality opposition and have a decent albeit class-exclusive base, you're eventually going to hit a patch where good coaching combines with enough quality players. Australia's largely had that for the last couple of decades. But note the lack of depth. If they lose Latham, they're stuck with Huxley. Ashley-Cooper is a starting winger despite being shit. MATT FUCKING DUNNING IS ACTUALLY IN THE TEAM! When Australia had a string of injuries a couple of years ago, they lost 8 out of 9 games (I think the lone win was over Italy - just). Now people like Gregan, Mortlock, and Latham are reaching the end of their careers. Nobody of comparable ability really seems to be coming through. I'm sure Australia will linger around the top ten, I'm not saying they're about to become a Portugal, but I expect that in 2-3 decades' time, we'll still be talking about Kiwi and Springbok dominance, while Australia will be around where England and Scotland are nowadays.
Axver said:
Yeah. I think the only good league convert was Rogers and losing him back to league was quite possibly the worst thing to hit Australian rugby since Sailor and Dunning were picked for the Wallabies. Sailor was a hack, I've already made my thoughts clear on that. Tuqiri took far too long to become a solid player, though nowadays he's become one of the better Wallabies.
The new ARC should hopefully go some way to helping the development of real union players. Though with horrible team names like the Sydney Fleet and East Coast Aces, I can see why people would stay away ...
Axver said:
While this is the case, I don't think it's as severe as in cricket. I mean, in cricket, outside of the big eight, you might as well just not bother unless Bangladesh has a good day or Mugabe finally fucks off in Zimbabwe. In rugby, if you don't talk about the All Blacks for a minute, teams as far down as #12, Fiji, can be competitive (hell, Fiji are the best 7s team in the world except possibly for New Zealand!). Even #13, Canada, has been a quarter-finalist before and I think has a degree of potential. A 16-team World Cup is fair. It gives the top 10-12 a good bash, and brings in some minnows who can give the top teams a run, especially those currently in a slump (looking at you, Scotland). 20 teams ... well, it's questionable. I'm still in favour of it. You couldn't go to 24 though.
Axver said:
I doubt any rugby game would end in that, but if it does, I question its fairness. Think of a game that ends tied at 30-30. Team A scored six tries but converted none of them; team B landed ten out of ten penalties. While that's an extreme example, it shows that a team whose defence leaks like a sieve and whose attack is insipid could nonetheless win due to having a quality kicker. Reducing players would be an interesting idea, but I haven't really thought about it.
Axver said:
I think 3 for a penalty is fair, as it should be worth more than a conversion. Maybe conversions from right out front should be worth only one, but definitely a conversion from the sideline deserves two, so three for penalties. However, drop goals are harder than either conversions or penalties, so I actually advocate four points for a drop goal. There is the problem of teams structuring their play around drop goals, but a good defence should make that less of a threat, and an offence based on drop goals will never be an equal substitute for an offence based on scoring tries.
Zihua said:The Aus back-clapping after the predictable result against Japan was a bit nauseating, and yes I did note that the AB's more impressive result was downplayed or all but ignored in the Aus media, appearing as a by-the-by footnote.
Yeah, it's difficult to explain but I just don't 'get' how Australia is more than moderately successful at international rugby, so your flash in the pan theory fits well. Wikipedia reckons that we have 165,219 registered club players, but I'd like to examine that more closely as it's higher than I'd expect. The sceptic in me (and I think you can see a lot of it here ) thinks that maybe they've cheated a little by counting any kid - boy or girl - who's enrolled in a private school as a 'registered player'. No, I don't really think so but it would be nice to see a breakdown of that figure. I guess my view of rugby union participation in Australia has been skewed by living in a rugby league heartland for so long, though.
Agreed on the lack of depth in the Wallaby team. I look at the squad, at those usual suspects who it seems have virtually owned their jersey for years, and can't help but think that there mustn't be nearly enough talent and/or competition at the domestic level. In practically any elite level sport, there is a natural turnover of talent as guys or girls burst onto the stage, hit peak form, then inevitably become less of a force as either they become less physically capable or the game standard itself evolves. I'm not saying that there aren't some freakishly good sportspeople who can't dominate for many years (eg, see US Open thread), but in the case of the Wallabies I just don't believe that the form of some of the guys has been consistently great to warrant continual selection. So I can only conclude that the alternatives waiting in the wings must be fairly weak, as you suggest...
Fair call, but I think that the big gap is still there between the very top contenders and the rest, and I'd be happier with 16 teams for the World Cup. I suppose you also have to consider how the prestige of the WC might be affected if, say, decades from now only a handful of sides have still only ever come close to winning it? Also, rugby is obviously a very physical game so it's important to have that balance between a fair contest with a true outcome, and one that presents too many opportunities for players to submit to injury.
Hmm, I'm not so sure, and I'd definitely be opposed to upping dropgoals to four points. As it is I find that the game is currently a little too oriented towards grinding away through the rucks and kicking rather than putting the ball through the hands, and four points per dropgoal would likely only make it even moreso. A very dominant side could be completely lacking in enterprising attack, yet very solid and aggressive in defence.. and also happen to have a few guru kickers within its ranks. Sure dropgoaling is difficult, but given enough players coming through the ranks and having the dedication to master the art, how could you stop them? A freak kicker(s) could burst onto the scene and decimate what used to be a team sport. I think I'd be happier with two points, and perhaps even one.
Three points for penalties, OK yeah they -probably- should be worth more than conversions. As I mentioned, the worry is that (same as with any international sport) referee interpretations of rules tend to differ between nations. I guess you could argue that an erroneous penalty out of kicking range could be just as harmful though, if it leads to a try and conversion..
babyman said:Italy looked bad yesterday, though I'm sure Romania isn't so weak as many may think. But I'm not so optimistic about passing to the quarter-finals for Italy, it will be hard to beat Scotland.
Axver said:
The Australian media has a tendency to downplay pretty much every other sporting event in the world, unless you're watching SBS for the soccer. Sure, Australia's not as bad as the Yanks, but I really am tired of "here's a huge piece about a totally predictable and rather dull Aussie win, now let's just give the score of a far more interesting game and move on to what some other Aussie predictably did ..." I never watch sports reports any more. Not just because of that factor, though. I'm tired of seemingly endless rugby league/AFL highlights reels and then a dodgy half-arsed report on union that shows two tries and some irrelevant footage of a has-been player on the sideline.
Axver said:
Yeah, that high amount of registered club players is surprising, but then again, you know what the most popular youth sport in New Zealand is? Soccer. But almost all serious sportspeople eventually switch to rugby as their main game. That's not to say they abandon soccer, though: Dan Carter recently played some club soccer in Christchurch!
Axver said:
What I think really must be considered is that while rugby union is pretty class-exclusive here, that's also true to varying extents in the other major rugby powers. There are only 2, possibly 3, exceptions. New Zealand is obviously the first exception, where rugby is far more important than anything else (I do wonder happens when pregnant women go into labour during World Cup finals featuring the All Blacks? If I were female and pregnant, that'd be my worst nightmare). The second is Wales, where rugby is also the people's game and explains why Wales has such a rich rugby history. My possible third is South Africa - but we'd need GibsonGirl to weigh in here. From the perspective I've gained, rugby in South Africa appears to be pretty race exclusive, with whites forming the vast bulk of players, but within that group, it seems to cross class boundaries.
Axver said:
It's just ridiculous when you look back on past Wallabies teams and see the same names recurring over and over again. You almost start wondering when John Eales will be dragged back into the team. I think Australia's looking particularly weak at the back these days. Meanwhile, the New Zealand selectors must have one of the worst jobs on earth. How do you pick between Sivivatu, Rokocoko, Howlett, Gear, Muliaina, etc.? Of course, what I find ironic at the moment is that while we have some of the greatest depth at lock in the world, with six players of international calibre, we seem to be struggling to keep them healthy! Ali Williams and Chris Jack are the only two in match condition at the moment, and we don't want to over-play them early in the Cup. I can't believe this is Chris Jack's last World Cup. He's one of my favourite forwards ever. The man just does not give up, no matter how badly you knock him down and injure him.
Axver said:
Regarding Australia's league converts, I think the main problem was that they were thrust straight into the Wallabies. They got no opportunity to really master the breakdown and you could tell their quality of play really suffered for it. Someone like Sailor just did nothing but stood to the side. When he did attempt a tackle, they were ineffective, and if you got him in a good tackle, he found it very difficult to recycle the ball. At least Rogers, like you said, was a playmaker himself. I always feared him; I think the fact he was deceptive and a good kicker allowed him to invent space where there wasn't any. When Sailor would just get knocked over by a feather, Rogers would dummy or chip-kick and be on his way. I felt the Wallabies under-utilised him and I don't blame him for going back to league.
Axver said:
It's interesting to note some early minnow results. Look at how Namibia has pushed Ireland and Georgia weren't wasted by Argentina. I feel that at 20 teams, it's enough space to provide valuable experience to minnow countries. If you cut it to 16, you'd have a problem of minnows having no access at all. The current top 15 would have a lock on all but one spot, and the 16th would in all likelihood just be competed between Romania and Japan. In past years, that 16th spot would have been assurred to Romania. I feel you need 20 teams to allow Japan, Georgia, and Namibia access - they may get totally thumped by the top five, but it gives them a good bash against the rest. Maybe 18 teams would be better?
Your league mention is interesting. The attacking flair of the league teams would give them great opportunities on attack, but I feel their defence would leak like a sieve. An equally powerful attacking force such as the All Blacks would probably destroy even the best league team you can possibly make. However, the Aussie league team against a Northern union team like England would probably give the Aussies a win. I will forever maintain that rugby is played properly in the Southern Hemisphere. The Home Nations have too much defence and too little offence. Also, your league mention brings to mind something else. The farcical league World Cup has featured the New Zealand Maori. Their union equivalent is one of the world's better sides, including a thumping 74-6 win over the US earlier this year that perfectly illustrated the gulf in talent between the #1 and #15 countries in the world. This World Cup to me seems to have 19 times who deserve to be there and fucking Portugal. Cut Portugal, bring in the New Zealand Maori, and there you go, 20 teams who should be there.
Oh, and I nearly forgot the other comment I wanted to respond to, your mention of what if it's just the same teams winning over and over again. Check out the soccer World Cup! Only seven countries have won it in 18 tournaments. Rugby's had 4 in 5. At this same point in the soccer Cup's history, 3 had won. After 10 Cups, 6 unique winners. In the eight since, only 1 new unique winner. So I say not to get too worried about the Rugby World Cup just yet. Out of teams who can conceivably win it, France and Wales haven't done so yet and New Zealand and South Africa are still waiting to do it again. Out of countries that have never lost to New Zealand, Ireland and Argentina could still do it given favourable fortunes.
Axver said:
Yeah, this is true - I suppose as far as scoring goes, I support retaining the status quo. I don't see too much drive to change it. And I think that with penalties, there's really very little you can do with inconsistent refereeing. It's a problem every sport has, and I'm more worried about it in cricket (I want LBW decisions taken away from the on-field umpires). I used to respect the IRB's selection criteria a lot, as they seem to have quite high standards, but Stuart fucking Dickinson is still there and even at this World Cup! Incomprehensible. He is the worst referee in history. I will never forgive him for the 2003 game between New Zealand and England where he blew 33 penalties! By the end of the game, the Wellington crowd was booing every time he gave a penalty, even when it was in favour of New Zealand!
Zihua said:Hehe yep that sounds pretty much right. The self-aggrandising (?) in the Aussie media makes me cringe, and I think that they play a significant role in swelling pride to the point of arrogance in the Aussie sporting culture. It gives us a terrible image. I'm patriotic enough to enjoy seeing Australian sporting individuals or teams do well, but not at the expense of humility and dignity..
Hehe, I wonder how Dan Carter's insurers and/or sponsors felt about that? Sort of like Michael Schumacher having a kick between races? Not surprising that soccer is the biggest junior sport in New Zealand before the players typically defect to rugby - soccer is much easier to learn, and playable almost anywhere. And parents don't have to be as concerned about spinal injuries. There's a similar pattern in Australia and also I believe in the US, and probably quite a few other countries, although of course the differences between them are which sports are taken up once the kids have done their dash with soccer. In NZ, rugby is fortunate to have such a monopoly..
The promotional media here tries hard to break down the barriers though, typically employing that failsafe sales pitch of the Aussie rivalry with certain other nations. I think that they do a pretty good job of convincing the general population that Australians love their rugby a lot more than they actually do.
Haha yep I think everyone pities the New Zealand selectors while envying their coaching staff! Just think of the poor guys who could easily slot into any other international side yet probably never get a look-in for the NZ squad. Tough life for them. Or are those the guys that end up in league, you think?
The fact that those league players were poached and fast-tracked into the domestic sides and soon after the national side says a lot about the lack of depth in Australian rugby, doesn't it? Sure it may have been as much or more about marketing than sporting merit, but still.. if those guys could push their way into Wallaby jerseys ahead of other dedicated rugby contenders, it makes the situation look fairly dire.
Maybe - hopefully - the gulf isn't as bad as I sometimes think it is. Your example of the New Zealand Maori destroying the US illustrates some of the problem though. Could you see the US team ever beating the Maori? I'd doubt it would happen, yet there they are in the World Cup. Sure more teams in a competition means more stadium and televised matches, and more revenue for the stakeholders, but the only hazard that a team such as the US or Portugal presents is that of injuring players from one of the marquee teams. It's a World Cup and they'll never get close to winning it, so what's the point? Anyway that's what started me down the hypothetical path of throwing in NZ and South African 2nd, 3rd (etc) string teams. How would they go?
By the way I have to disagree on the league defence being flimsy, why do you say that? And don't say "Wendell Sailor".
And geez you've even gone and done some research on the soccer World Cup! I should've done this myself for comparison, so thanks for looking into it.. I didn't know that so few had won it, I must say that I always get the feeling that it's a much tighter competition yet the stats say otherwise, huh? At least for the overall winners, that is. As a competition though I think the teams are more evenly matched than in rugby. A minnow team such as Australia who just barely scraped into the 32 for once holding the cup winners Italy to a 1-0 scoreline is a fair indication of the competitiveness of soccer, and in rugby terms that would be something like New Zealand just scraping past Georgia; it's not going to happen, is it? It's at least heartening that in rugby no one team has had it their own way, though I have a feeling that that may well apply in this WC campaign..
intedomine said:C'mon Wales tonight....
Axver said:
Wait, you're going for Wales? How come?
LJT said:The NZ vs Portugal game was great fun....Portugal really gave it a go and definitely did not look downhearted despite the 100 odd points put past them...they made some good interceptions, played generally well defensively for a team of amateurs and even got a try...The Portuguese gave it their all and they made it a very enjoyable match....it didn't feel like a demolition...even though it was, it was just a fun match.
The Portuguese fans were also great.