camiloj
War Child
The Oscar nominations come out next week, any thoughts on that? I've made my predictions for these in the Forum of my movie site (http://www.currentlyplaying.com) but I thought I'd share them here to get some Feedback.
Here are my predictions for the Big 6. I could have made 2 or 3 versions of this depending on 2 other films, Blackhawk Down and Memento. I don't trust the Academy to recognize those films so I am going with a Gosford Park nomination as my trend here.
BEST PICTURE
A Beautiful Mind
Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring
In the Bedroom
Moulin Rouge
Gosford Park
This is a toss up though, I am pretty much 100% certain about the first 4, but for the fifth film it?s a toss up between Gosford Park, Blackhawk Down, and Memento. OR, they could do an upset and dump In the Bedroom for Blackhawk Down although I doubt it, I think the race is between Blackhawk Down and Gosford Park to get a Best Picture nomination.
BEST DIRECTOR
Robert Altman - Gosford Park
Ron Howard - A Beautiful Mind
Peter Jackson - The Fellowship of the Ring
Baz Luhrmann - Moulin Rouge
Christopher Nolan ? Memento
(there is a chance Altman will be shut out in this category but I am still betting he will get the nomination although it all changes if Gosford Park is not nominated for Best Film).
BEST ACTOR
Russell Crowe - A Beautiful Mind
Denzel Washington - Training Day
Tom Wilkinson - In the Bedroom
Gene Hackman ? The Royal Tenenbaums
Ewan McGregor ? Moulin Rouge
Again, we have some things that are for certain here, such as the first 3 films, but then after Crowe, Washington, and Wilkinson, it becomes less certain. Perhaps Hackman as he won a Golden Globe for this performance and it has been very well celebrated, but he did not receive a SAG nomination and that says a lot. Billy Bob Thornton has been mentioned for either The Man Who Wasn?t There or Monster?s Ball is quite possible. Ewan McGregor is not a shoe in either but he is a personal favorite and that?s why I chose him. Other possibilities are Will Smith for Ali and Sean Penn is a dark horse for I Am Sam.
BEST ACTRESS
Halle Berry - Monster's Ball
Judi Dench - Iris
Nicole Kidman - Moulin Rouge
Sissy Spacek - In the Bedroom
Tilda Swinton - The Deep End
A dark horse in this category is Renee Zellweger's highly praised performance in Bridget Jones' Diary. Spacek, Berry, Kidman, and Switnon are sure things. Dench could be left out, but I doubt it.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Jim Broadbent ? Iris
Steve Buscemi - Ghost World
Ben Kingsley - Sexy Beast
Ian McKellen - The Fellowship of the Ring
Hayden Christensen ? Life as a House
Pretty sure on these five...
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Connelly - A Beautiful Mind
Cameron Diaz - Vanilla Sky
Helen Mirren - Gosford Park
Dakota Fanning ? I Am Sam
Marisa Tomei - In the Bedroom
Dakota Fanning is the dark horse here (but she got a SAG nomination, can anyone say Haley Joel Osment?) there could be a variety of others in her place. Connelly, Diaz, and Mirren are for certain nominees.
My primary prediction is that A Beautiful Mind and Moulin Rouge are going to be very close in number of Oscar nominations, Moulin Rouge can expect to pick up nominations for Costume Design, MakeUp, Original Song (Come What May), Original Score, Art Direction, Visual Effects, and Film Editing. I am thinking it will end up with as few as 8 or as many as 10 nominations, with A Beautiful Mind picking up at least the same, at least 9. I also think Lord of the Rings will be right there with Moulin Rouge in many of the same categories as well. I think Lord of the Rings will get 8 nominations.
What do you think?
Here are my predictions for the Big 6. I could have made 2 or 3 versions of this depending on 2 other films, Blackhawk Down and Memento. I don't trust the Academy to recognize those films so I am going with a Gosford Park nomination as my trend here.
BEST PICTURE
A Beautiful Mind
Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring
In the Bedroom
Moulin Rouge
Gosford Park
This is a toss up though, I am pretty much 100% certain about the first 4, but for the fifth film it?s a toss up between Gosford Park, Blackhawk Down, and Memento. OR, they could do an upset and dump In the Bedroom for Blackhawk Down although I doubt it, I think the race is between Blackhawk Down and Gosford Park to get a Best Picture nomination.
BEST DIRECTOR
Robert Altman - Gosford Park
Ron Howard - A Beautiful Mind
Peter Jackson - The Fellowship of the Ring
Baz Luhrmann - Moulin Rouge
Christopher Nolan ? Memento
(there is a chance Altman will be shut out in this category but I am still betting he will get the nomination although it all changes if Gosford Park is not nominated for Best Film).
BEST ACTOR
Russell Crowe - A Beautiful Mind
Denzel Washington - Training Day
Tom Wilkinson - In the Bedroom
Gene Hackman ? The Royal Tenenbaums
Ewan McGregor ? Moulin Rouge
Again, we have some things that are for certain here, such as the first 3 films, but then after Crowe, Washington, and Wilkinson, it becomes less certain. Perhaps Hackman as he won a Golden Globe for this performance and it has been very well celebrated, but he did not receive a SAG nomination and that says a lot. Billy Bob Thornton has been mentioned for either The Man Who Wasn?t There or Monster?s Ball is quite possible. Ewan McGregor is not a shoe in either but he is a personal favorite and that?s why I chose him. Other possibilities are Will Smith for Ali and Sean Penn is a dark horse for I Am Sam.
BEST ACTRESS
Halle Berry - Monster's Ball
Judi Dench - Iris
Nicole Kidman - Moulin Rouge
Sissy Spacek - In the Bedroom
Tilda Swinton - The Deep End
A dark horse in this category is Renee Zellweger's highly praised performance in Bridget Jones' Diary. Spacek, Berry, Kidman, and Switnon are sure things. Dench could be left out, but I doubt it.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Jim Broadbent ? Iris
Steve Buscemi - Ghost World
Ben Kingsley - Sexy Beast
Ian McKellen - The Fellowship of the Ring
Hayden Christensen ? Life as a House
Pretty sure on these five...
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Connelly - A Beautiful Mind
Cameron Diaz - Vanilla Sky
Helen Mirren - Gosford Park
Dakota Fanning ? I Am Sam
Marisa Tomei - In the Bedroom
Dakota Fanning is the dark horse here (but she got a SAG nomination, can anyone say Haley Joel Osment?) there could be a variety of others in her place. Connelly, Diaz, and Mirren are for certain nominees.
My primary prediction is that A Beautiful Mind and Moulin Rouge are going to be very close in number of Oscar nominations, Moulin Rouge can expect to pick up nominations for Costume Design, MakeUp, Original Song (Come What May), Original Score, Art Direction, Visual Effects, and Film Editing. I am thinking it will end up with as few as 8 or as many as 10 nominations, with A Beautiful Mind picking up at least the same, at least 9. I also think Lord of the Rings will be right there with Moulin Rouge in many of the same categories as well. I think Lord of the Rings will get 8 nominations.
What do you think?