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Old 06-29-2011, 09:28 AM   #781
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I love it when announcers lay down the major gooch.
Twins TV guys last night going on and on about how Capps only had 2 Walks in his last 32 innings pitched. Capps then proceeds to Walk the next 2 Dodgers.


(Twins still pulled it out though.)
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Old 06-29-2011, 06:20 PM   #782
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(Twins still pulled it out though.)
I wish Joe Mauer's dad had pulled it out, if you get what I'm saying.
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Old 06-29-2011, 09:41 PM   #783
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I thought it was the other way around, or rather that there was overall no difference in performance in contract years, but just that we tend to notice those who overperform more?
Baseball Prospectus did a study in 2005 claiming that the contract year existed but was pretty small on average, IIRC. Since then others have done follow-up studies suggesting that the effect is even smaller than that.

There's a study here claiming that the opposite effect is very significant, however -- on average players who sign huge contracts tend to underperform during the first year. If this effect exists, it's very reasonable to posit that the walk year effect exists, however small.
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Old 06-29-2011, 10:06 PM   #784
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I wish Joe Mauer's dad had pulled it out, if you get what I'm saying.




(I'm glad Gardy finally pulled out of Punto.)
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Old 06-29-2011, 10:11 PM   #785
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This just in - the Phillies are a damn good team.
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Old 06-29-2011, 11:38 PM   #786
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Pleasantly surprised that Worley was able to pitch as long as he did. He's had a lot of trouble getting past the fifth because he racks up high pitch counts. We need to get to the seventh every night till Madson comes back. I can't trust anyone other than Stutes or Bastardo with the three closers all on the DL.
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Old 06-30-2011, 10:26 AM   #787
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Baseball Prospectus did a study in 2005 claiming that the contract year existed but was pretty small on average, IIRC. Since then others have done follow-up studies suggesting that the effect is even smaller than that.

There's a study here claiming that the opposite effect is very significant, however -- on average players who sign huge contracts tend to underperform during the first year. If this effect exists, it's very reasonable to posit that the walk year effect exists, however small.
Thanks, this was an interesting read. Your earlier point on off-season conditioning probably has something to do with it, given how some baseball players show up in camp (I'm looking at you, Joba).

On another note, Sergio Meat-tray must have some compromising pictures of Girardi or Cashman.
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Old 06-30-2011, 10:39 AM   #788
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On another note, Sergio Meat-tray must have some compromising pictures of Girardi or Cashman.
The photo albums that must exist around the league... ... I don't want to see any of them.
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Old 06-30-2011, 11:55 AM   #789
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I just saw the Red Sox lineup for this afternoon's game.

A sweep is imminent.
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Old 06-30-2011, 03:09 PM   #790
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someone break up The Mets...they've turned into the 1927 Yankees.

Wait, they probably will

But so far, Verlander is laying the smack down on them today.
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Old 06-30-2011, 03:14 PM   #791
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Dave Cameron has suggested the Mariners trade Michael Pineda to a team for a load of position player prospects. I agree with him, actually.
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Old 06-30-2011, 03:58 PM   #792
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I just saw the Red Sox lineup for this afternoon's game.

A sweep is imminent.
An injury changes the game.
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Old 06-30-2011, 04:08 PM   #793
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CC!!
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Old 06-30-2011, 08:35 PM   #794
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YouTube - ‪U2 Loves the Marlins‬‏
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Old 06-30-2011, 09:37 PM   #795
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will that be enough to turn the marlin's season around?

they did win today
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