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Old 09-07-2013, 04:29 AM   #256
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This is going to be a bloodbath.

Can the ALP make this a one-term government? Fuck I hope so, but I worry that the swing will be so strong that it will be hard to claw back in just three years. A double dissolution will make things crazy - all bets will be off. I kind of hope it happens, just for the fun of voting in the Senate.
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Ian McCulloch the U2 fan:
"Who buys U2 records anyway? It's just music for plumbers and bricklayers. Bono, what a slob. You'd think with all that climbing about he does, he'd look real fit and that. But he's real fat, y'know. Reminds me of a soddin' mountain goat."
"And as for Bono, he needs a colostomy bag for his mouth."

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Old 09-07-2013, 05:00 AM   #257
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Antony Green has pretty much called it already, even though he says he hasn't.

FUCKING FUCK this is just excruciating.
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"Mediocrity is never so dangerous as when it is dressed up as sincerity." - Søren Kierkegaard

Ian McCulloch the U2 fan:
"Who buys U2 records anyway? It's just music for plumbers and bricklayers. Bono, what a slob. You'd think with all that climbing about he does, he'd look real fit and that. But he's real fat, y'know. Reminds me of a soddin' mountain goat."
"And as for Bono, he needs a colostomy bag for his mouth."

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Old 09-07-2013, 05:07 AM   #258
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As ridiculous as it sounds I wouldn't be that surprised to see Abbott forcibly removed after he manages to set fire to all the decent things in this country.
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Old 09-07-2013, 05:21 AM   #259
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Clive Palmer's polling so fucking well WHAT IS WRONG WITH YOU AUSTRALIA WHAT THE FUCK IS WRONG WITH YOU HE'S A MINING MAGNATE WHO JUST WANTS MORE MONEY FOR HIM FUCK ME.
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"Mediocrity is never so dangerous as when it is dressed up as sincerity." - Søren Kierkegaard

Ian McCulloch the U2 fan:
"Who buys U2 records anyway? It's just music for plumbers and bricklayers. Bono, what a slob. You'd think with all that climbing about he does, he'd look real fit and that. But he's real fat, y'know. Reminds me of a soddin' mountain goat."
"And as for Bono, he needs a colostomy bag for his mouth."

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Old 09-07-2013, 05:31 AM   #260
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"We're talking about a revolution!"
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Old 09-07-2013, 05:35 AM   #261
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Yeah I honestly wonder how long Abbott will last. Such a divisive and incompetent politician. If he isn't ousted as PM (by Turnbull?) during his first term, then surely he won't be allowed to lead the Liberals for a second term?

I suppose the only reason they persevered with him for this year's election is because that would have nullified the Liberals' main weapon against Labor - leadership change. Otherwise, he is a shocking politician and certainly not Prime minister material.
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Old 09-07-2013, 05:44 AM   #262
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Clive Palmer is looking like he is a good chance to win the seat of Fairfax. Fuck me sideways.

Oh god this is so horrible. I've seen enough Aussie and Kiwi elections go the wrong way in my life but none have felt as wretchedly terrible as this.
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"Mediocrity is never so dangerous as when it is dressed up as sincerity." - Søren Kierkegaard

Ian McCulloch the U2 fan:
"Who buys U2 records anyway? It's just music for plumbers and bricklayers. Bono, what a slob. You'd think with all that climbing about he does, he'd look real fit and that. But he's real fat, y'know. Reminds me of a soddin' mountain goat."
"And as for Bono, he needs a colostomy bag for his mouth."

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Old 09-07-2013, 06:37 AM   #263
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I suppose it's far too soon to have any news on the senate.

As for the lower house, could be worse, could be better I suppose. If Labors ends up with more than fifty, fifty-five seats... that's something.

Palmer? A lunatic, but his actual impact is neither here nor there I guess... presumably he'll vote with the Coalition most of the time, whatever. Now if Rise Up Australia had got a candidate up... same outcome, but far more depressing.
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Old 09-07-2013, 08:25 AM   #264
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My general impression is that Australia is a lot more socially conservative than I initially thought.

You can tell me if i'm getting this wrong but basically, the Labour party obviously with it fractious self destruction over the years (Rudd-Gillard-Rudd) and whatever internal battles went over that became nearly as right wing as the Liberal party in their effort to claw back in the polls, with rhetoric against asylum seekers and dropping a lot of the environmental policies they came to power with. So you have on party being a complete shambles and you would struggle to differentiate it from it's main rival, but the main rival is led by someone who appears to be worse (at least as far as I can tell) than many of the Republicans in the States.
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Old 09-07-2013, 08:40 AM   #265
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Tips for leader of the opposition?

I want Jason Clare to put his hands up. I think he is young, bright, fresh, intelligent, unencumbered by any Rudd/Gillard baggage, and is a strong local member. Who else is there worth considering? Discuss.
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Old 09-07-2013, 08:43 AM   #266
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Abbott is not too far from an Australian Reagan of sorts.
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Old 09-07-2013, 08:47 AM   #267
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Originally Posted by Vlad n U 2 View Post
Aw yeah.

I think I'm ironically fanboying (if that even is a word) Clive to the point that it's becoming sincere ... oh no.
My family have gone Clive too. It's fucking nuts! I said to my sister today that he's Australia's version of Boris Johnson. Ie, a lunatic that says the craziest things to distract everyone temporarily from the fact that he's just said some totally batshit crazy thing. I think people find his Hawke-esque honesty a little refreshing.

2013 aside, Bob Carr is setting the groundwork for an election in the future, is the prediction in this house. I think I've forgotten how bad he was at the end of his NSW stint, but I think he will rise up. God knows, the ALP need unity. Desperately.
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Old 09-07-2013, 08:50 AM   #268
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Tips for leader of the opposition?

I want Jason Clare to put his hands up. I think he is young, bright, fresh, intelligent, unencumbered by any Rudd/Gillard baggage, and is a strong local member. Who else is there worth considering? Discuss.
Give Bob Carr some time. He's a crafty bugger. He knows well how to play this game. He knows when a ship is sinking, he knows when to jump on board. He is painfully rigid. He is difficult to beat.
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Old 09-07-2013, 08:54 AM   #269
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Bob Carr is about 65. Nope.

Everyone says Bill Shorten, and maybe as placeholder, but he ain't nothing special.

Maybe 'Albo'.
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Old 09-07-2013, 08:56 AM   #270
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ALP leadership is pretty much Albanese vs Shorten if you ask me. I don't see anybody else even in the frame at this point. At least Rudd fucking quit. I can't believe he spent three years fucking white-anting the party to lead them to such an insipid fucking result. And he KEPT GODDAMN SMILING THROUGH HIS CONCESSION SPEECH AS IF HE'D WON. Those awful fucking Queenslanders who kept chanting his name and cheering at every mention of Queensland reminded me why I moved the fuck out of that state too.

Quote:
Originally Posted by LJT View Post
My general impression is that Australia is a lot more socially conservative than I initially thought.

You can tell me if i'm getting this wrong but basically, the Labour party obviously with it fractious self destruction over the years (Rudd-Gillard-Rudd) and whatever internal battles went over that became nearly as right wing as the Liberal party in their effort to claw back in the polls, with rhetoric against asylum seekers and dropping a lot of the environmental policies they came to power with. So you have on party being a complete shambles and you would struggle to differentiate it from it's main rival, but the main rival is led by someone who appears to be worse (at least as far as I can tell) than many of the Republicans in the States.
You're pretty spot on. Australia has an incredibly nasty streak of racism and sexism - I don't know why people look upon this as a friendly, open country when this streak of fearful conservatism runs through its politics so vehemently that we hounded out an incredibly capable Prime Minister because she dared to have a vagina.

I keep trying to tell the Labour acolytes I know that the biggest problem with the party right now is that it fails to offer an alternative vision for the future, a left-wing vision, something clearly opposed to the Liberals. The problem is that the ALP is really in a transition phase as what it means to be left-wing evolves. Part of their base is your traditional working class that is very socially conservative, and they don't know how to balance that with social progressives. Likewise you have a battle between ideologues who think social issues don't even matter and ideologues who don't even understand economics. This will be an interesting time for the ALP. I'm very interested to see how they endure the next few years in opposition and whether or not they bounce back quickly. The last time they were ousted from government, in 1996, they bounced back so strongly in 1998 that they won the nationwide two-party-preferred vote while still losing the election (John Howard could have been a one-term footnote rather than an eleven-year PM). I can only hope that the ALP is even more resurgent this time.
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"Mediocrity is never so dangerous as when it is dressed up as sincerity." - Søren Kierkegaard

Ian McCulloch the U2 fan:
"Who buys U2 records anyway? It's just music for plumbers and bricklayers. Bono, what a slob. You'd think with all that climbing about he does, he'd look real fit and that. But he's real fat, y'know. Reminds me of a soddin' mountain goat."
"And as for Bono, he needs a colostomy bag for his mouth."

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