Australian 2016 Election Poll - Page 4 - U2 Feedback

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View Poll Results: Choose your preferred candidate.
21st Century Australia 1 10.00%
Animal Justice Party 0 0%
Australia First 1 10.00%
Australian Antipaeodphile Party 0 0%
Australian Christians 0 0%
Country Party 0 0%
Cyclists Party 0 0%
Defence Veterans Party 0 0%
ALP 2 20.00%
Greens 2 20.00%
Liberal Party 0 0%
Motoring Enthusiasts Party 1 10.00%
Sex Party 0 0%
Bullet Train for Australia 1 10.00%
Family First 0 0%
Katter's Australia Party 0 0%
Liberal Democrats 0 0%
#Sustainable Australia 0 0%
Mature Australia Party 1 10.00%
Nick Xenophon Team 0 0%
Rise Up Australia 0 0%
Secular Party 0 0%
Seniors Party of Australia 1 10.00%
Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party 0 0%
Smokers Rights Party 0 0%
Socialist Alliance Party 0 0%
Socialist Equality Party 0 0%
Voluntary Euthanasia Party 0 0%
VOTEFLUX.ORG | Upgrade Democracy! 0 0%
Outdoor Recreation Party (Stop the Greens) 0 0%
Voters: 10. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 07-02-2016, 07:49 AM   #46
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This is turning out a bit shit, isn't it?
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Old 07-02-2016, 07:51 AM   #47
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More than a bit shit.
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Old 07-02-2016, 08:17 AM   #48
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Not that it really matters much at all, but I'd love to know why the ABC's running tally of seat counts and The Guardian's differ so wildly. I'm not putting much stock in the latter.
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Old 07-02-2016, 08:29 AM   #49
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You want to be looking at the AEC, no?
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Old 07-02-2016, 09:04 AM   #50
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I guess I do!
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Old 07-02-2016, 09:13 AM   #51
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I trust the ABC model. Antony Green s d team have built theirs using projections based on preference flows, booth histories, all sorts of things, and call seats when they go over a statistical degree of probability. They aren't formally called, they are 'in all likelihood'.


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Old 07-02-2016, 09:18 AM   #52
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Wow what a night. Really didn't expect to get to after 11 and not have a result confirmed yet. Tories may get the slimmest of majorities but they have tanked. And the senate will be madness.

Can't believe how unbearable ScoMo is.
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Old 07-02-2016, 09:21 AM   #53
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I see the Greens are still resolutely stuck on one MP (not that that means a whole heap just yet admittedly).
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Old 07-02-2016, 09:36 AM   #54
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I have never seen anyone celebrate a loss as happily as Bill is right now. What the fuck
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Old 07-02-2016, 09:44 AM   #55
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kieran McConville View Post
I see the Greens are still resolutely stuck on one MP (not that that means a whole heap just yet admittedly).

Shame that Batman probably hasn't fallen. It's still in play but unlikely.

This is a great achievement for Shorten - given everybody was saying Turnbull would hold on, he has done an amazing job to cut a first term incumbent government to either a hung parliament or the barest majority.
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Ian McCulloch the U2 fan:
"Who buys U2 records anyway? It's just music for plumbers and bricklayers. Bono, what a slob. You'd think with all that climbing about he does, he'd look real fit and that. But he's real fat, y'know. Reminds me of a soddin' mountain goat."
"And as for Bono, he needs a colostomy bag for his mouth."

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Old 07-02-2016, 09:49 AM   #56
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We don't even know tonight who the loser is anyway. Although I'd say Turnbull is the loser either way, but that will be cold comfort if some form of Coalition government does manage to hang on, later rolling him.
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Old 07-02-2016, 10:37 AM   #57
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Bolt is sobbing at the moment somewhere.
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Old 07-02-2016, 11:07 AM   #58
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I'm alarmed to see how well One Nation is doing well nationwide. Hopefully in most states they will just fall short of a quota but the Queensland result is horrifying. Not just one but TWO?!
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Ian McCulloch the U2 fan:
"Who buys U2 records anyway? It's just music for plumbers and bricklayers. Bono, what a slob. You'd think with all that climbing about he does, he'd look real fit and that. But he's real fat, y'know. Reminds me of a soddin' mountain goat."
"And as for Bono, he needs a colostomy bag for his mouth."

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Old 07-02-2016, 06:00 PM   #59
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Very different stories playing out in various places:

AEC has it ALP 72-66 with 7 undecided
ABC has it 67-67 with 11 undecided
Guardian has it LNP 69-65 with 11 undecided.

And for 'balance':
News.com.au has it LNP 70-65 with 10 undecided


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Old 07-02-2016, 08:03 PM   #60
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dan_smee View Post
Very different stories playing out in various places:

AEC has it ALP 72-66 with 7 undecided
ABC has it 67-67 with 11 undecided
Guardian has it LNP 69-65 with 11 undecided.

And for 'balance':
News.com.au has it LNP 70-65 with 10 undecided


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That wild discrepency is exactly what I was alluding to last night!

Now, at this stage, notwithstanding Antony Green's fancy-pants computer models, I'd be inclined to go with what the AEC is saying. They would know what the count is, surely. They may not know how it will turn out but they are the ones actually counting. News.com.au and The Guardian's totals, christ knows whose ass they pulled them out of. I'm convinced they must make shit up.
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