$700 Billion - To Bail or Not to Bail...That is the question

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See, I view arguments like that as a huge problem. Barr says that the big companies should be allowed to go bankrupt. Banks should be allowed to go under. Sounds good--I mean, hey, they made the mistake, right? Why should we pay for it?

The problem is that none of us lives in a bubble (though thinkers like Barr might in their heads). There are repercussions to such failures. Big ones. Ones that touch more than just the fat CEOs of companies and banks.

One word defines arguments like this: ignorance.
 
Can you explain why?

The language wasn't strong enough in some areas. I don't think the oversight was truly meaningful, for example.

If the first bill was a 1/10, this one was maybe 6/10. I wouldn't have been upset if it passed, but it's possible to get a better one.

However, now we are in total meltdown mode.
 
Yes that was obviously edited together by someone who was completely fair and unbiased...:rolleyes:

If it were factually untrue, I'm certain that it would have been throughly pointed out by somebody here already.


What's sad tho, is the ppl involved in the cause of this debacle could never stand the thought of being held accountable.

And besides that, we are 4 years too late.
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See, I view arguments like that as a huge problem. Barr says that the big companies should be allowed to go bankrupt. Banks should be allowed to go under. Sounds good--I mean, hey, they made the mistake, right? Why should we pay for it?

The problem is that none of us lives in a bubble (though thinkers like Barr might in their heads). There are repercussions to such failures. Big ones. Ones that touch more than just the fat CEOs of companies and banks.

One word defines arguments like this: ignorance.

Thank you.

That is what amazes me when I keep hearing how the constituents are so opposed to the bailout and how they are telling their politicians to vote no. When they say, "I don't want the money going to the fat cats on Wall Street."

So, none of these people have 401k plans? Need car loans? Need student loans?
 
If it were factually untrue, I'm certain that it would have been throughly pointed out by somebody here already.


What's sad tho, is the ppl involved in the cause of this debacle could never stand the thought of being held accountable.

And besides that, we are 4 years too late.
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It's not as if those decisions weren't made. But the clip is conveniently leaving out the other side of events that lead to the debacle.
Let's just be honest, Democrats and Republicans have both screwed up by falling for those free market fundamentalists that have championed the cause of deregulation.
 
It's not as if those decisions weren't made. But the clip is conveniently leaving out the other side of events that lead to the debacle.
Let's just be honest, Democrats and Republicans have both screwed up by falling for those free market fundamentalists that have championed the cause of deregulation.

free market was not the problem.

no, fannie and freddie cooking the books-that was the problem.

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If it were factually untrue, I'm certain that it would have been throughly pointed out by somebody here already.


What's sad tho, is the ppl involved in the cause of this debacle could never stand the thought of being held accountable.

And besides that, we are 4 years too late.
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This has been a long day of weak conservative arguments. There is a difference between facts and the whole story, this is not the whole story. Plus the written commentary between edits made it obvious the picture they wanted to paint. Here's so and so lying, etc...

Republicans had control of the White House and Congress and didn't do a damn thing. So quit looking back to the 90's to try and find fault.
 
This has been a long day of weak conservative arguments. There is a difference between facts and the whole story, this is not the whole story. Plus the written commentary between edits made it obvious the picture they wanted to paint. Here's so and so lying, etc...

Republicans had control of the White House and Congress and didn't do a damn thing. So quit looking back to the 90's to try and find fault.

It wasn't the 90s.

In 2005 there was :

Federal Housing Enterprise Regulatory Reform Act of 2005

Sponsered by Hagel, McCain, Hutchinson and Schnunu-all Republicans.

Most of the Republicans voted for it except a few hold outs, and there was zero support from the Left.

Trouble is you need 60 votes in the Senate to pass it, so it was DOA, because there not being 60 GOP Senators to have passed it-at the time.

In the end the Republicans tried to hold Fannie and Freddie accountable in 2005-to avoid the mess were in today.

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It wasn't the 90s.

In 2005 there was :

Federal Housing Enterprise Regulatory Reform Act of 2005

Sponsered by Hagel, McCain, Hutchinson and Schnunu-all Republicans.

Most of the Republicans voted for it except a few hold outs, and there was zero support from the Left.

Trouble is you need 60 votes in the Senate to pass it, so it was DOA, because there not being 60 GOP Senators to have passed it-at the time.

In the end the Republicans tried to hold Fannie and Freddie accountable in 2005-to avoid the mess were in today.

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Still not the full story. The bill first went to the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs in 2005 which was majority Republican and it never reached the floor. It was then reintroduced in 2007 without McCain's backing(not sure what changed his mind), once again not making it to the floor...

This was a bi-partisan fuck up, lets not pretend it isn't... Pointing fingers will get us nowhere.
 
You would be on more solid ground if 4 Democrats had offered a bill to clean up Fannie and Freedie, and the Republicans derailed it.

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If it was only that easy that it was just the practices of Fannie and Freddy that led to the trouble. Instead of allowing a market that creates financial models which are built upon selling debt, hiding it and thus spreading what is then to become the blockade in the interbank lending market.
 
It was that easy, Freddie and Fannie sold the loans to world banks after packaging them up as "profitable loans".

They misrepresented their worth, (by fabricating numbers) and when the loans were found to be unprofitable, it pissed off the banks in Europe who they were sold to thus creating a liquidity crisis.

The Republicans tried to get Fannie and Freddie to stop writing crap loans and stop over inflating their value.(2005).

They couldn't find enough people with integrity to support the bills they offered. (60 votes needed in Senate).

Now the world banks are on to us because of these past dubious pratices, we can't sell them and the USA is going under.

Plus egos are in the way to try and stop the bleeding.

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You would be on more solid ground if 4 Democrats had offered a bill to clean up Fannie and Freedie, and the Republicans derailed it.

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If you want to live in a one dimentional world, so be it. This is a multi-faceted issue and the trail leads to both parties. Quit trying to pretend it was ever a priority for the Republicans or that it's only these two lenders at fault.
 
General News - Fingerpointing continues on bailout failure

Rep. Tom Price, R-Ga., who voted against the bailout, said he thinks "it's important to get this vote right, not necessarily to get it quick."

"We are principled in the fact that we believe we ought to stick to American principles, we ought to protect the taxpayer, we need to make sure that private money, private equity can get involved and have Wall Street bail out Wall Street, not on the backs of the taxpayers," Price said on NBC's "Today" show.

"And we need to make certain that there's an exit strategy," he said, "so that there's not a huge, massive bureaucracy that grows up around this. I'm positive and hopeful that we'll be able to get to this by the end of the week."

Makes sense to me..
 
The Republicans tried to get Fannie and Freddie to stop writing crap loans and stop over inflating their value.(2005).

How about the "voluntary regulation" attitude of the Republican SEC?




The Securities and Exchange Commission can blame itself for the current crisis. That is the allegation being made by a former SEC official, Lee Pickard, who says a rule change in 2004 led to the failure of Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, and Merrill Lynch.

The SEC allowed five firms — the three that have collapsed plus Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley — to more than double the leverage they were allowed to keep on their balance sheets and remove discounts that had been applied to the assets they had been required to keep to protect them from defaults.

Making matters worse, according to Mr. Pickard, who helped write the original rule in 1975 as director of the SEC's trading and markets division, is a move by the SEC this month to further erode the restraints on surviving broker-dealers by withdrawing requirements that they maintain a certain level of rating from the ratings agencies.

The so-called net capital rule was created in 1975 to allow the SEC to oversee broker-dealers, or companies that trade securities for customers as well as their own accounts. It requires that firms value all of their tradable assets at market prices, and then it applies a haircut, or a discount, to account for the assets' market risk. So equities, for example, have a haircut of 15%, while a 30-year Treasury bill, because it is less risky, has a 6% haircut.

Ex-SEC Official Blames Agency for Blow-Up of Broker-Dealers - September 18, 2008 - The New York Sun
 
Remarks of Senator Barack Obama—as prepared for delivery

Reno, Nevada

Tuesday, September 30th, 2008

This morning – like so many others over the last few months – we woke up to some very sobering news about our economy. Over the course of a few hours, the failure to pass the economic rescue plan in Washington led to the single largest decline of the stock market in two decades.

Over one trillion dollars of wealth was lost by the time the markets closed on Monday. And it wasn’t just the wealth of a few CEOs or Wall Street executives. The 401Ks and retirement accounts that millions count on for their family’s future are now smaller. The state pension funds of teachers and government employees lost billions upon billions of dollars. Hardworking Americans who invested their nest egg to watch it grow are now watching it disappear.

But while the decline of the stock market is devastating, the consequences of the credit crisis that caused it will be even worse if we do not act and act immediately.

Because of the housing crisis, we are now in a very dangerous situation where financial institutions across this country are afraid to lend money. If all that meant was the failure of a few big banks on Wall Street, it would be one thing.

But that’s not what it means. What it means is that if we do not act, it will be harder for you to get a mortgage for your home or the loans you need to buy a car or send your children to college. What it means is that businesses won’t be able to get the loans they need to open new factories, or hire more workers, or make payroll for the workers they have. What it means is that thousands of businesses could close. Millions of jobs could be lost. A long and painful recession could follow.

Let me be perfectly clear. The fact that we are in this mess is an outrage. It’s an outrage because we did not get here by accident. This was not a normal part of the business cycle. This was not the actions of a few bad apples.

This financial crisis is a direct result of the greed and irresponsibility that has dominated Washington and Wall Street for years. It’s the result of speculators who gamed the system, regulators who looked the other way, and lobbyists who bought their way into our government. It’s the result of an economic philosophy that says we should give more and more to those with the most and hope that prosperity trickles down to everyone else; a philosophy that views even the most common-sense regulations as unwise and unnecessary. And this economic catastrophe is the final verdict on this failed philosophy – a philosophy that we cannot afford to continue.

But while there is plenty of blame to go around and many in Washington and on Wall Street who deserve it, all of us now have a responsibility to solve this crisis because it affects the financial well-being of every single American. There will be time to punish those who set this fire, but now is the moment for us to come together and put the fire out.

This is one of those defining moments when the American people are looking to Washington for leadership. It is not a time for politics. It is not a time for partisanship. It is not a time to figure out how to take credit or where to lay blame. It is not a time for politicians to concern themselves with the next election. It is a time for all of us to concern ourselves with the future of the country we love. This is a time for action.

I know that many of you are feeling anxiety right now – about your jobs, about your homes, about your life savings. But I also know this – I know that we can steer ourselves out of this crisis. Because that’s who we are. Because this is the United States of America. This is a nation that has faced down war and depression; great challenges and great threats. And at each and every moment, we have risen to meet these challenges – not as Democrats, not as Republicans, but as Americans. With resolve. With confidence. With that fundamental belief that here in America, our destiny is not written for us, but by us. That’s who we are, and that’s the country we need to be right now.

This is no longer just a Wall Street crisis – it’s an American crisis, and it’s the American economy that needs this rescue plan. I understand why people would be skeptical when this President asks for a blank check to solve a problem. I’ve spent most of my time in Washington being skeptical of this Administration, and this time was no different. That’s why over a week ago, I demanded that this plan include specific proposals to protect American taxpayer – protections that the Administration eventually agreed to, as well as Democrats and Republicans in Congress.

First, I said we needed an independent board to provide oversight and accountability for how and where this money is spent at every step of the way.

Second, I said that we cannot help banks on Wall Street without helping the millions of innocent homeowners who are struggling to stay in their homes. They deserve a plan too.

Third, I said that I would not allow this plan to become a welfare program for the Wall Street executives whose greed and irresponsibility got us into this mess.

And finally, I said that if American taxpayers are financing this solution, then you should be treated like investors – you should get every penny of your tax dollars back once this economy recovers.

This last part is important, because it’s been the most misunderstood and poorly communicated aspect of this entire plan. This is not a plan to just hand over $700 billion of your money to a few banks on Wall Street. If this is executed the right way, then the government will temporarily purchase the bad assets of our financial institutions so that they can start lending again, and then sell those assets once the markets settle down and the economy recovers. If this is managed correctly, we will hopefully get most or all of our money back, or possibly even turn a profit on the government’s investment – every penny of which will go directly back to you, the investor. And if we do have losses, I’ve proposed to institute a Financial Stability Fee on the entire financial services industry so that Wall Street foots the bill – not the American taxpayer. I’ve also said that if I’m President, I will review the entire plan on the day I take office to make sure that it is working to save our economy and that you are getting your money back.

Even with all these taxpayer protections, I know that this plan is not perfect or fool-proof. No matter how well we manage the government’s investments under this plan, we are still putting taxpayer dollars at risk. I know that there are Democrats and Republicans in Congress who have legitimate concerns about this, and I know there are many Americans who share those concerns.

But I also know that we can’t afford not to act. Both parties are close to accepting this plan, and over the next few hours and days, we should seek out any new ideas that might get this done. This morning, I proposed one such idea that might increase bipartisan support for this plan and shore up our economy at the same time: expanding federal deposit insurance for families and small businesses across America who have invested their money in our banks.

The majority of American families should rest assured that the deposits they have in our banks of up to $100,000 are still guaranteed by the federal government. That guarantee is more than adequate for most families, but it is insufficient for many small businesses to meet their payroll, buy their supplies, and create new jobs. The current insurance limit of $100,000 was set 28 years ago and has not been adjusted for inflation. I’ve proposed raising the FDIC limit to $250,000 – a step that would boost small businesses, make our banking system more secure, and help restore confidence by reassuring families that their money is safe.

That’s one idea. If there are others that can help shore up support for this plan and shore up our economy, I encourage Democrats and Republicans to offer them. But we must act and we must act now. We cannot have another day like yesterday. We cannot risk another week or another month where American businesses are afraid to extend credit and lend money. That is not an option for this country.

For the rest of today and as long as it takes, I will continue to reach out to leaders in both parties and do whatever I can to help pass a rescue plan. To the Democrats and Republicans who opposed this plan yesterday, I say – step up to the plate and do what’s right for this country. And to all Americans, I say this – if I am President of the United States, this rescue plan will not be the end of what we do to strengthen this economy – it will only be the beginning.

People have asked whether the size of this plan, together with the weakening economy, means that the next President will have to scale back his agenda and some of his proposals. The answer is both yes and no. With less money flowing into the Treasury, it is likely that some useful programs or policies that I’ve proposed on the campaign trail may need to be delayed. And I’ve said that as President, I will go through the federal budget, line by line, eliminating programs that no longer work and making the ones we do need work better and cost less.

But there are certain investments in our future that we cannot delay precisely because our economy is in turmoil. You can always put off giving your house a new paint job or renovating your kitchen, but when your roof is crumbling or your heater goes, you realize that these are long-term investments you need to make right away.

The same is true of our economy. We cannot wait to help Americans keep up with rising costs and shrinking paychecks by giving our workers a middle-class tax cut. We cannot wait to relieve the burden of crushing health care costs on families, businesses, and our entire economy. We cannot wait to create millions of new jobs by rebuilding our roads and our bridges and investing in the renewable sources of energy that will stop us from sending $700 billion a year to tyrants and dictators for their oil. And we cannot wait to educate the next generation of Americans with the skills and knowledge they need to compete with any workers, anywhere in the world. Those are the priorities we cannot delay.

As soon as we pass this rescue plan, we need to move with the same sense of urgency to rescue the families on Main Street who are struggling every day to pay their bills and keep their jobs. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: we need to pass an economic stimulus plan that will help folks cope with rising food and gas prices, save one million jobs by rebuilding our schools and roads, and help states and cities avoid budget cuts and tax increases. A plan that would extend expiring unemployment benefits for those Americans who’ve lost their jobs and cannot find new ones.

Beyond this immediate stimulus that I’ve called on both parties and the President to pass, we need an economic agenda to restore opportunity for Americans and prosperity to America. We need policies that will grow this economy from Main Street to Wall Street and everywhere in between – so that the 21st century is another American century. So that we’re not borrowing debt from China and buying oil from Saudi Arabia. So that the jobs of the future don’t go to better-educated workers in India and the cars of the future aren’t made in Japan. So that we can leave a legacy of greater opportunity to our children and their children. That is how we will emerge from this crisis stronger and more prosperous than we were before, and that is what I will do as President of the United States.

I will begin by reforming our tax code so that it doesn’t reward the lobbyists who wrote it, but the American workers and small businesses who deserve it. I will eliminate capital gains taxes for small businesses and start-ups, so that we can grow our economy and create the high-wage, high-tech jobs of tomorrow.

I will cut taxes – cut taxes – for 95% of all workers and their families. And if you make less than $250,000 a year, you will not see your taxes increase one single dime – because in an economy like this, the last thing we should do is raise taxes on the middle-class.

I will reform our health care system to relieve families, businesses, and the entire economy from the crushing cost of health care by investing in new technology and preventative care. If you have health care, my plan will lower your premiums. If you don’t, you’ll be able to get the same kind of coverage that members of Congress give themselves. And I will stop insurance companies from discriminating against those who are sick and need care the most.

To create new jobs, I’ll invest in rebuilding our crumbling infrastructure – our roads, schools, and bridges. We’ll rebuild our outdated electricity grid and build new broadband lines to connect America. And I’ll create the jobs of the future by transforming our energy economy. We’ll tap our natural gas reserves, invest in clean coal technology, and find ways to safely harness nuclear power. I’ll help our auto companies re-tool so that the fuel-efficient cars of the future are built right here the United States of America. I’ll make it easier for the American people to afford these new cars. And I’ll invest 150 billion dollars over the next decade in affordable, renewable sources of energy – wind power and solar power and the next generation of biofuels; an investment that will lead to new industries and five million new jobs that pay well and can’t ever be outsourced

And if I am President, I will meet our moral obligation to provide every child a world-class education, because it will take nothing less to compete in the global economy. I’ll invest in early childhood education. I’ll recruit an army of new teachers, and pay them higher salaries and give them more support. But in exchange, I will ask for higher standards and more accountability. And we will keep our promise to every young American – if you commit to serving your community or your country, we will make sure you can afford a college education.

Finally, I will modernize our outdated financial regulations and put in the place the common-sense rules of the road I’ve been calling for since March – rules that will keep our market free, fair, and honest; rules that will make sure Wall Street can never get away with the stunts that caused this crisis again. And I will take power away from the corporate lobbyists who think they can stand in the way of these reforms. I’ve done it in Illinois, I’ve done it Washington, and I will do it again as President.

These are the changes and reforms that we need. Bottom-up growth that will create opportunity for every American. Investments in the technology and innovation that will restore prosperity and lead to new jobs and a new economy for the 21st century. Common-sense regulations for our financial system that will prevent a crisis like this from ever happening again.

I won’t pretend this will be easy or come without cost. We will all need to sacrifice and we will all need to pull our weight because now more than ever, we are all in this together. What this crisis has taught us is that at the end of the day, there is no real separation between Main Street and Wall Street. There is only the road we’re traveling on as Americans – and we will rise or fall on that journey as one nation; as one people.

This country and the dream it represents are being tested in a way that we haven’t seen in nearly a century. And future generations will judge ours by how we respond to this test. Will they say that this was a time when America lost its way and its purpose? When we allowed our own petty differences and broken politics to plunge this country into a dark and painful recession?

Or will they say that this was another one of those moments when America overcame? When we battled back from adversity by recognizing that common stake that we have in each other’s success?

I believe that this is one of those moments. I know that many of you are anxious about your future and the future of this country. I realize that you are cynical and fed up with politics. I understand that you are disappointed and even angry with your leaders. You have every right to be. But despite all of this, I ask you to believe – believe in this country and your ability to change it. I ask you what has been asked of the American people in times of trial and turmoil throughout our history – what was asked at the beginning of the greatest financial crisis this nation has ever endured. In his first fireside chat, Franklin Roosevelt told his fellow Americans that “..there is an element in the readjustment of our financial system more important than currency, more important than gold, and that is the confidence of the people themselves. Confidence and courage are the essentials of success in carrying out our plan. Let us unite in banishing fear. Together, we cannot fail.”

America, together, we cannot fail. Not now. Not when we have a crisis to solve and an economy to save. Not when there are so many Americans without jobs and without homes. Not when there are families who can’t afford to see a doctor, or send their child to college, or pay their bills at the end of the month. Not when there is a generation that is counting on us to give them the same opportunities and the same chances that we had for ourselves. Now is the time to make them proud of what we did here. Let’s give our children the future they deserve, and let’s act with confidence and courage to show the world that at this moment, in this election, the United States of America is still the last, best hope of Earth. Thank you Nevada, God bless you, and may God bless America.
 
It has been another dramatic day.

Brown's bail-out gamble as he looks at guaranteeing all bank savings... but dare he take the risk? | Mail Online
Gordon Brown is drawing up a drastic emergency plan to rescue the City as he vowed to do 'whatever it takes' to restore financial stability.
The Prime Minister has taken the unusual step of hiring bankers UBS and N M Rothschilds to advise him on a possible bailout deal, independent of Chancellor Alistair Darling.
Whitehall sources confirmed that the Government is considering a scheme that would match a guarantee announced yesterday by the Irish government to protect all bank bonds, debts and deposits.
This would go much further than measures announced officially by Mr Brown yesterday. He said a Banking Bill due to be introduced in weeks would raise the deposit protection level for savers from the current £35,000 to £50,000.
In fact, the Treasury is working on a proposal that could insure a staggering total of £1.9trillion in deposits in UK banks and building societies, said officials.


RTÉ Business: Bank guarantee 'to protect stability'

The Government has stepped in to guarantee the entire Irish banking system. The development covers the six main Irish-owned financial institutions: AIB, Bank of Ireland, Anglo Irish Bank, Irish Life and Permanent (which owns Permanent TSB), EBS Building Society and Irish Nationwide.

The deal means the State will guarantee all the debts and deposits of the banks and building societies.

The deal is like an insurance policy where financial institutions will be charged for state cover. It is designed to improve the liquidity of the banks, which have suffered enormous falls in share prices.

Minister Brian Lenihan warned that any banking collapse would have catastrophic economic consequences.
 
Bloomberg.com: Worldwide


House Members Receive Angry Calls on Vote, Aides Say (Update3)

By James Rowley and Nicholas Johnston

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) -- Lawmakers received a flurry of calls demanding that they revive the U.S. economy after the House's rejection of a $700 billion financial-rescue plan triggered a record drop in stocks, House aides said.

The calls countered an earlier outpouring of opposition to the legislation.

``A lot of people called to complain about losing their shirt,'' said Sean Brown, press secretary for Republican Representative Joe Barton of Texas, who opposed the measure. Calls have gone from overwhelmingly against the bill to about 60- 40 or 70-30 in favor of it, Brown said.

The $700 billion bailout failed by a dozen votes in the House as 40 percent of Democrats and two-thirds of Republicans voted against it.

A poll released today by ABC News and the Washington Post found the vast majority of voters are concerned about Congress's failure to act even as they are divided over what it should do. Eighty-eight percent said they were concerned the House vote could lead to a more severe economic decline.

Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd, a Connecticut Democrat, said today that some House members who voted down the plan are now having ``second thoughts'' and `want ``another shot at this.''
 
Well I think that's the fault of the legislators for not properly educating/informing their constituents about a) this crisis and b) the means to solve it.

Most ordinary people have no idea what this is about, why we're here, where we're going or how it's going to impact them in the long term. It's the job of the politicians to explain it to them in terms they can understand not only because you should want an educated electorate but because it's the best way to preclude people from panicking.
 
If you want to live in a one dimentional world, so be it. This is a multi-faceted issue and the trail leads to both parties. Quit trying to pretend it was ever a priority for the Republicans or that it's only these two lenders at fault.


Insults aside, it pointless to debate this as we're in a free fall that most people do not comprehend.

I speak with a knowledge on the subject as this is my occupation.

It is a matter of record that 4 Republicans sponsered a bill that would have prevented the castrophe that we now find ourselves in.

It is also a matter of record that Senators Dodd, and Frank opposed those efforts.



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Insults aside, it pointless to debate this as we're in a free fall that most people do not comprehend.

I speak with a knowledge on the subject as this is my occupation.

What do you do for a living?
 
Remarks of Senator Barack Obama—as prepared for delivery

Let me be perfectly clear. The fact that we are in this mess is an outrage. It’s an outrage because we did not get here by accident. This was not a normal part of the business cycle. This was not the actions of a few bad apples.

This financial crisis is a direct result of the greed and irresponsibility that has dominated Washington and Wall Street for years. It’s the result of speculators who gamed the system, regulators who looked the other way, and lobbyists who bought their way into our government. It’s the result of an economic philosophy that says we should give more and more to those with the most and hope that prosperity trickles down to everyone else; a philosophy that views even the most common-sense regulations as unwise and unnecessary. And this economic catastrophe is the final verdict on this failed philosophy – a philosophy that we cannot afford to continue.


Hey, that guy should maybe run for president or something. :up:

There will be a bailout package, and it'll happen very soon. But the "economic philosophy" is so key, isn't it?
 
A true leftist would never support this sort of corporate welfare. A true conservative would never support interference with the free market. Unfortunately corporate contributions persuade both corrupt parties to go against their ideals. Cronyism and/or stupidity are the only explanation for anyone voting for this ridiculous proposal. The oversights called for in the recent draft of the bill that failed in the House of Reps. still did not go far enough to protect the people's interest and gave far too much lenience (in my eyes) to the corporations. They shouldn't get a dime as their own folly got them where they are in the first place.

As they say, Capitalism can never die no matter how much it fails. It will always have Socialism to bail itself out.
 
Insults aside, it pointless to debate this as we're in a free fall that most people do not comprehend.

I speak with a knowledge on the subject as this is my occupation.

It is a matter of record that 4 Republicans sponsered a bill that would have prevented the castrophe that we now find ourselves in.

It is also a matter of record that Senators Dodd, and Frank opposed those efforts.



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I'm not trying to throw insults it's just frustrating how you consitantly eliminate facts and try and sell it as the overall picture. Right radio is doing the same thing, they are saying the same exact thing as you, they're eliminating facts left and right to try and make it one sided. Even O'Reilley is calling them liars.

Yes FOUR sponsored a bill that never made it on the floor, didn't even get big support of their party. Got brought out again without McCain's name and suffered the same fate... It should also be noted that the bill wanted to give tax cuts to some of the Republican favorites...
 
Will there be any bailout money left in Q109 for this??


globeandmail.com: Credit cards to ‘implode:' analyst

A hurricane of bad credit card debt will start crashing ashore in the United States in the first quarter of next year, even as the mortgage crisis continues, analysts at New York research firm Innovest Strategic Value Advisors warned Monday.

“A combination of a 10-year steady drip of deteriorating personal finances and a tidal wave . . . brought on by the mortgage and credit crisis leads us to believe that credit cards are going to implode in the near term,” Gregory Larkin, Innovest's senior banking analysts said during an online seminar on the topic.

So far, credit-card “charge-offs” – debts declared irrecoverable by card issuers – have been “defying gravity,” with losses lower than in both 2001 and 2005, Mr. Larkin said.

But, historically, after a time lag, irrecoverable credit-card debt has followed mortgage charge-offs up or down, and U.S. mortgage charge-offs have rocketed up eight-fold since the last quarter of 2007.

“If history is any indicator, there should be an equivalent surge in credit-card charge-offs very soon,” he said. “We forecast first quarter credit-card charge-offs will be $18.6-billion (U.S.) and that the total 2009 charge-off bill will add up to $96-billion.”

Laura Nishikawa, Innovest's consumer finance analyst, said the credit card issuers that will be hurt least in the coming crunch will be those who had the “foresight” to improve their risk management performance during the bull market, even if they sacrificed some growth in the process.

“On the other hand, companies that have pursued aggressive portfolio growth and higher yields at the cost of prudent risk management will struggle to manage rising loan losses, which will definitely cut into earnings or even worse, as the last few weeks have shown,” Ms. Ishikawa said.

As well, companies that have a business model that is based on consumers actually repaying their credit-card loans, will be more resilient, although, “in reality, in the consumer finance business, we usually find the opposite of this,” she said.

She cited American Express Co., with its charge-card model, as a prime example, calling it “best in class,” in the business by this measure.

JPMorgan Chase also earned “best in class” among broad-based commercial banks by this and other yard-sticks, she said.

The flip side of the coin, is credit card issuers that base their business model on consumers not paying off their card balances. Higher balances mean higher revenues along with penalty fees and jumps to higher interest rates in the event of missed payments.

“In this model,” Ms. Nishikawa said, “delinquent borrowers become cash-flow generators, and at the extreme end, the goal becomes: ‘How do we get borrowers into delinquent status as soon as possible, in order to maximize returns?'”

Even in good times, this strategy is a “tight-rope walk” between high fees and high charge-offs. “But when the economy turns bad, as it has, this strategy clearly cannot be sustained.”

She cited Capital One Financial Corp. as “worst in class.”

In response to a query during an e-mail question and answer period, Ms. Nishikawa said that the three Canadian banks most active in U.S. consumer banking, Royal Bank of Canada, Toronto-Dominion Bank and Bank of Montreal, are still “very small players” in the U.S. card business.

Still, Innovest's preliminary findings, she said, suggest that the three banks' default rates on their U.S. credit card lending are “much lower” than the much larger issuers the firm has been concentrating on, although she emphasized that she is not “100 per cent confident” of this data.
 
What is going to happen if this bailout goes through, our national debt increases a trillion more dollars, and countries lending us money decide to hike their interest rates because our government has no plan to pay them back?

WTF are we going to do then?
 
Finaceguy, how is the Irish market doing? My da still has his house back there and I am wondering how housing is doing. Its in Mayo, in the country. Also I've been seeing more and more Iirsh coming over to Canada looking for work (have 2 living with me now) they are telling me the construction boom has pretty much collapsed. Are all the foriegners still hanging around?
 
Finaceguy, how is the Irish market doing? My da still has his house back there and I am wondering how housing is doing. Its in Mayo, in the country.

I'm not sure if you want to know the answer to this. Average prices have dropped 15-20% since peak, but that doesn't tell half the story. Inventory is huge, proportionately as large as some of the most bubblicious US states. Some properties will struggle to sell at any price. Transactions are still happening, but at, by some estimates and in some areas, 90% reduced on peak in terms of numbers of transactions. But, really, assuming your da isn't planning on selling his house any time soon, I guess it doesn't really affect him. Mayo specifically, I don't know too much about the market there. I don't think prices ever got as crazy in Mayo as in Galway. There is carnage in Galway with several large developers there on the verge of bankruptcy.

Also I've been seeing more and more Iirsh coming over to Canada looking for work (have 2 living with me now) they are telling me the construction boom has pretty much collapsed.

Yes I'm hearing a lot of anecdotes about this. The construction boom, or as I prefer to call it, unsustainable property bubble, is a dead parrot. Not merely sleeping, but deceased.

Are all the foriegners still hanging around?

There are certainly a lot of immigrants still in Ireland. Shopping in Tesco's earlier, I would estimate 60% of customers probably foreign. Granted, city centre Dublin may not be representative. I tend to think, if you are an immigrant from a 'Third World' country frankly, being on the dole in Dublin is probably better than in a slum in Jakarta. If, on the other hand, you're a young male Pole accustomed to construction work, you'll probably head back home, or, indeed, to places like Canada or Australia.
 
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