NLOTH was released in February of 2009, and by this time we had official confirmation of that, and a name and date of the first single's release. We don't have anything right now, except the title "Songs of Experience", which has been floating around for awhile. March/April release is possible, but something needs to happen as soon as 2017 begins.
Hopefully Bono spills some beans at Christmas Eve!
And Songs of Innocence was released in September of 2014, with zero advanced notice of anything and/or single release. So nothing HAS to happen a certain way anymore in regards to the release.
The tour, however, is a different story. I think it's safe to say that they'll never start a tour without adequate rehearsal time again, after the PopMart opening debacle. I think it's also safe to say that after the botched release of SOI and the lost opportunity to properly promote the album because of Bono's bike accident that they'll put a premium on a good, solid promotional tour to help the album and ticket sales. Obviously that's not set in stone, and they could announce the album and tour on the same day... but they haven't had a quick turnaround since Pop, and nothing would lead you to think they'll so it again.
A schedule that I think makes sense based on what we know and what we assume we know...
Early to mid January - single release & album announcement.
Mid January - Bonnaroo set with U2 as a headliner
Feb - talk show circuit, maybe an appearance at the Grammys, leading to
Late Feb - album release
Mid March - tour announced, on sale end of week
May - tour begins in NA
June - Bonaroo
July - NA leg ends
August - European leg begins
December - SA leg, maybe outdoors
Early 2018 - Asia/Australia, possibly outdoors
Spring/Summer 2018 - European leg, possibly outdoors
Late summer / Fall - possible outdoor NA tour to finish off.
If sales are strong early I do think they'll take this outdoors... but if a certain region is underperforming (US) they can always go back to the indoor set.
If we get into late spring/summer before release, there's only really time for a short indoor run in the fall and winter... Possibly only in Europe at that point, with the rest of the tour starting again in 2018 in NA.
If we're talking a fall release, then there's no tour for 2017.
If they really are playing Bonnaroo, I'd think they'd want the album well before the gig so people know the songs. They wouldn't want to drop an album right before a festival and then use a festival to promote unknown songs, as a headliner.
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